Three Policies to Improve Productivity Growth in Canada



40

According to the 2001 census, 82 per cent of interprovincial migrants were of
working age (15 and over) and the employment rate of working age migrants was 66 per
cent. This implies that of the 370,791 migrants in 2006, 201 thousands were employed in
the destination province. In 2006, total employment in Canada was 16,484 thousand so
interprovincial migrants represented 1.22 per cent of this total. Labour income, expressed
in current prices, was $737 billion, 53 per cent of GDP. Assuming that the labour income
of migrants is the same as the average worker, labour income for interprovincial migrants
was $9.0 billion. If wages were 4.6 per cent higher for this group due to interprovincial
migration, this gain was $413 million in labour income and $779 million in GDP, the
latter equivalent to 0.05 per cent of GDP.28

Chart 14: Comparison of One-Year Geographic Labour Mobility in

The second methodology used to estimate the impact of interprovincial migration
on productivity gives larger results as it takes a broader approach to the concept of
productivity, a social productivity perspective. It includes the benefits for the economy
from persons going from non-employment to employment through migration.

Sharpe, Arsenault and Ershov (2007) quantify changes in aggregate output and
labour productivity brought about by the interprovincial migration of workers. Total
output gains are the result of two separate effects, the effect of employment gains as a
result of interprovincial migration and the effect of the re-allocation of workers between
28
This calculation of course ignores the gains from intraprovincial migration, which as noted is three times
as important as interprovincial migration. Therefore the total impact on GDP of both types of migration
may be closer to $240 million



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