Bird’s Eye View to Indonesian Mass Conflict Revisiting the Fact of Self-Organized Criticality

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Bird’s Eye View to Indonesian Mass Conflict

Revisiting the Fact of Self-Organized Criticality

Deni Khanafiah

<[email protected]>
Scholar in Dept. Computational Sociology
Bandung Fe Institute

April 23^rd 2007

Abstract

The paper statistically observed the recorded data of the series of social clashes and
violence in Ambon, Indonesia in the period of social conflict between 1999-2004. The scaling
laws are revealed and the power-law fitting procedures and analysis are conducted. The
results also reviewed some findings in wars among countries in the worlds now well known
as Richardson’s Law. The paper also discussed the plausible explanations in the sense of
possible underlying process of the famous self-organized criticality by reviewing the classic
forest fire model. Some further sociological explorations in the sense of computational and
agent-based model approaches are also conjectured.

Keywords: social clashes, social conflict and violence, power law distribution, Richardson’s
Law, self-organized criticality.

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