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Contents

Abstract                                                             ii

Acknowledgements                                            iii

List of Figures                                                      vii

List of Tables                                                        xi

1 Introduction                                                       1

1.1 Bayesian Inference ............................ 2

1.2 Non-parametric Bayesian Inference................... 2

1.3 Overview.................................. 4

1.4 Contributions of this Thesis....................... 6

2 Assessing Toxicities in a Clinical Trial: Bayesian Inference for Mul-
tivariate Ordinal Data                                             7

2.1  Overview.................................. 7

2.2  Background................................ 9

2.2.1   Clinical Trials........................... 10

2.2.2  Binary Data Model........................ 12

2.2.3  Multiresponse Categorical Data Model............. 14

2.3  A Phase III Clinical Trial ........................ 16

2.4  A Hierarchical Model for Ordinal Data Nested within Categories ...   18



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