Should Local Public Employment Services be Merged with the Local Social Benefit Administrations?



Table A3: IV-Estimates (Second stage)

Dependent variable:

Log number of long-term unemployed finding a job each month

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

Approved Local Provider

-0.167

-0.204*

-0.277*

-0.297*

[0.092]

[0.090]

[0.121]

[0.129]

Specialized case management

-0.078*

-0.077**

-0.080**

[0.027]

[0.026]

[0.026]

Own vacancy recruitment service

0.093

0.100

[0.049]

[0.055]

Integrated matching approach

0.021

0.024

[0.036]

[0.036]

Length of first interview (Log)

0.018

[0.024]

First interview within 2 weeks

0.004

[0.034]

Agreement signed

0.043

[0.057]

Long-term unemployed (Log)

0.703**

0.685**

0.681**

0.681**

[0.047]

[0.044]

[0.035]

[0.034]

Long-term unemployed in neighbouring
regions (Log)

-0.022

0.005

0.021

0.023

[0.061]

[0.060]

[0.053]

[0.053]

Short-term unemployed (Log)

0.227

0.258*

0.239*

0.246*

[0.111]

[0.106]

[0.106]

[0.104]

Short-term unemployed in neighbouring
regions (Log)

-0.194

-0.214

-0.245*

-0.250*

[0.103]

[0.102]

[0.093]

[0.092]

New vacancies (Log)

-0.024

-0.012

-0.005

-0.011

[0.047]

[0.039]

[0.037]

[0.037]

New vacancies in neighbouring regions
(Log)

0.115*

0.101*

0.110*

0.112*

[0.040]

[0.039]

[0.039]

[0.040]

Rural regions

0.019

0.023

0.042

0.039

[0.036]

[0.036]

[0.038]

[0.040]

Metropolitan regions

-0.120*

-0.116*

-0.103*

-0.107*

[0.048]

[0.040]

[0.039]

[0.042]

East Germany

-0.014

-0.007

0.013

0.007

[0.049]

[0.045]

[0.045]

[0.045]

Population (Log)

0.156

0.137

0.134

0.131

[0.094]

[0.084]

[0.082]

[0.085]

Constant

-2.977**

-2.844**

-2.630**

-2.708**

[0.637]

[0.597]

[0.528]

[0.504]

Observations

409

399

399

387

F-Statistic

25.87

24.00

26.47

29.74

Durbin-Wu-Hausman Test (p-value)

0.174

0.149

0.130

0.095

R-squared

0.98

0.98

0.98

0.98

Standard errors are given in parentheses. Coefficients with * and ** indicate significance at a 5 % and 1 %
level, respectively. Observations are clustered at the level of the 16 German states and weighted accordingly.

22



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