EU Preferential Partners in Search of New Policy Strategies for Agriculture: The Case of Citrus Sector in Trinidad and Tobago



therefore would be unable to compete against fresh fruit imports (when all costs included). However, the
positive profitability and DRC of 0.57 (for orange production that does not include the costs of
establishment) suggests that the impact of imports may exaggerate the trend towards simply harvesting
trees until death.

Table 4. Policy Analysis Matrix for orange production (value in TT$)

PAM- Full Costs                    PAM -- Establishment Costs Excluded

Revenue

Tradable

Non-Tradable

Profits

Revenue

Tradable

Non-Tradable

Profits

Private Prices

11,564

3,664

_______10,042

(2,141)

11,564

1,627

__________3,956

5,981

Social Prices

8,162

3,271

_______11,832

(6,941)

8,162

1,432

___________3,863

2,868

Divergences

3,402

393

(1,791)

4,800

3,402

196

______________93

3,113

Source: Hyacinth-Ash et al (2003).

Note: since orange fruits are not imported into T&T, world price was obtained by using the adjusted converted price
for orange juice imported from Belize.

Table 5.______Indicators of Policy Effects and Comparative Advantage for Oranges (% or TT$)

Indicators

PAM -Full Costs

PAM - Establishment Costs Excluded

Nominal Protection Coefficient (NPC)

1.42

1.42

Effective Protection Coefficient (EPC)

1.62

1.48

Private Profits

-$2,141

$5,981

Producer Subsidy Equivalent (PSE)

0.42

0.27

Domestic Resource Cost (DRC)

____________2.42_________

___________________0.57___________________

Source: Hyacinth-Ash et al (2003)

Note: since orange fruits are not imported into T&T, world price was obtained by using the adjusted converted price
for orange juice imported from Belize.

6. Conclusions and recommendations

The existing policy regime provides producers with restrictions on the importation of fresh fruits and
juice products and subsidies given in the establishment phase of the crop. Even under such favourable
policy regimes production and hectarage under cultivation is declining. This study has identified that
farmers are acting rationally since under the current conditions it is not profitable to establish new grooves
(requiring significant investments and a 5-year delay on returns). Profitability is achieved by managing
and harvesting existing trees.

The results suggest that orange production will further decline and disappear if the existing trade-
related protection and subsidies are reduced or removed. On the contrary, the recommendations for
building a competitive citrus sector would include:

Reinforcing support to farmers to reduce costs in the establishment phase of the crop and
encourage planting of new grooves. This may be accomplished with enhanced subsidies and
concessionary financing.

Improving productivity to enable higher levels of profitability per hectare and thereby
higher levels of earnings for farmers. This requires significant input from the research, extension and
plant protection services and more effective husbandry and management techniques, farmer support
services and resolutions to
praedial larceny and pest and disease constraints. Increased yields also will



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