Foreign direct investment in the Indian telecommunications sector



Intercept____________________________

-77.12267_______

-4.60

16.76610

Log of Lagged Tax Revenue________

29.50331________

4.12

7.16280

Log of Literacy rate_________________

29.56908________

4.25

6.95450

Log of GDP per capita percent
change lagged by one year__________

-0.47770

-0.56

0.85324

R-square_________________________

0.8246

Adjusted R-Square________________

_______0.7193_______

F-Value___________________________

________7.83___________

Model 7 - Logs of FDI (dependent variable), lagged Tax revenue and GDP lagged by two years

(sample size of 8)

Parameter Estimate

T-value

Standard Error

Intercept____________________________

-90.45893_______

-5.16

17.53134

Log of Tax Revenue lagged by one

years________________________________

20.48931

3.61

5.66837

Log of GDP lagged by two years_____

6.32536

4.88

1.29732

R-square_________________________

_______0.8248_______

Adjusted R-Square________________

_______0.7664_______

F-Value___________________________

14.12_________

Literacy and lagged tax revenues indicate that labor skill and infrastructure are important
factors in attracting FDI to the telecommunications sector. Urban population as a percentage of
total population provided mixed results alternatively indicating that urban population had a
positive and negative impact on FDI. GDP provided counter-intuitive results as most models
incorporating GDP indicated that it had a negative impact on FDI in the telecommunications
sector. However, this might represent that foreign investors pursue other investment
opportunities as the economy expands. Only in model seven does GDP (lagged by two years)
have the expected positive sign and indicates that a one percent increase in lagged GDP increases
telecommunications FDI by just over six percent.

18



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