A policy, = ( 1, 2,...), is a sequence of decision rules, t, that specify a plan for controlling the
biological invasion as a function of the previous history, ht = (y0,a0,x0,...,at-1,xt-1,yt). That is, at = t(ht) and
xt = yt - t(ht). A stationary Markov policy is associated with a pair of decision rules that specify the
control and the size of the invasion that remains at the end of each period as a function of the size of the
invasion at the beginning of the period. Associated with each initial state, y0, and each policy is a
∞
discounted sum of social costs Vπ(y0) = ^ δt[C(at,yt) + D(xt)], where the sequence {at,xt} is
t=0
generated by the invasion growth function, f, and the policy, , in an obvious manner. The objective of
the dynamic optimization problem is to minimize the discounted sum of costs and damages over time
subject to the transition equation that governs the growth and spread of the invasion. The optimal value
satisfies:
∞
V(y0) = Min ∑ δt [ C ( at, yt ) + D ( xt )] subject to yt = at+xt and yt+1 = f(xt). (2.1)
t=0
Under A1-A5 and B1-B4, standard dynamic programming arguments imply that there exists a stationary
optimal value that satisfies the recursion V(yt) = Min [C(at,yt) + D(xt) + δV(f(xt))] subject to 0 ≤ xt ≤ yt, yt
= at+xt and yt+1 = f(xt), and that there exists a stationary Markov optimal policy whose decision rules are
X(y) = Arg Min{[C(y-x,y) + D(x) + δV(f(x))^0≤x≤y} and A(y) = y - X(y). A sequence (yt,xt,atV that
solves (2.1) is an optimal program from y0. Given an initial invasion of size y0 = y and a selection x(y)
from the stationary optimal policy X(y), an optimal program is defined recursively by yt+1 = f(x(yt)), xt =
x(yt), at = a(yt), t =0, 1,2,...
3. Controlled Invasions and their Basic Properties
This section characterizes the basic properties of an optimal policy and the optimal value. The
initial results characterize the sensitivity of the optimal value V(y) and optimal policy X(y) to the size of
the invasion.
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