Human Development and Regional Disparities in Iran:A Policy Model



Table 4. Computed targets for adult literacy (indicator 2) for all provinces

Target

Actual

M2

δj
j

M2 И δj

2j

value

1. Ardebil

68.9

63.2

5.7

0.59

3.4

2. Booshehr

72.4

72.5

-0.1

0.33

0.0*

3. Chahar Mahal B.

71.2

67.2

4.0

0.48

1.9

4. East Azarbayjan

70.5

67.5

3.0

0.47

1.4

5. Fars

76.4

74.7

1.7

0.27

0.5

6. Gilan

73.7

72.6

1.1

0.33

0.3

7. Hamedan

69.8

68.1

1.7

0.45

0.8

8. Hormozgan

69.6

63.3

6.3

0.58

3.7

9. Ilam

71.0

67

4.0

0.48

1.9

10. Isfahan

72.6

79.5

-6.9

0.14

0.0*

11. Kerman

71.3

70.5

0.8

0.39

0.3

12. Kermanshah

71.5

68.1

3.4

0.45

1.5

13. Khoozestan

71.0

69.2

1.8

0.42

0.8

14. Khorasan

70.2

73.9

-3.7

0.30

0.0*

15. Kohkilooyeh & B. A.

66.6

61.9

4.7

0.62

2.9

16. Kordestan

64.1

56.9

7.2

0.76

5.4

17. Lorestan

70.1

65

5.1

0.54

2.8

18. Markasi

77.2

71.7

5.5

0.36

1.9

19. Mazandaran

74.1

72

2.1

0.35

0.7

20. Qom

80.1

75.4

4.6

0.25

1.2

21. Semnan

79.0

79.5

-0.5

0.14

0.0*

22. Sistan & B.

54.6

48.1

6.5

1.00

6.5

23. Tehran

84.7

84.7

0.0

0.00

0.0

24. West Azarbayjan

66.9

61.1

5.8

0.64

3.7

25. Yazd

78.7

77.9

0.8

0.19

0.1

______26. Zanjan__________________

68.1

65.2

2.9

0.53

1.5

* δjr is set equal to 0 as Mrj is negative.

Using the above method we have computed the adjusted targets for all indicators and provinces.
They are presented in Table B3 in Appendix B.

Finally it should be pointed out that δjr computed by the suggested method (iv) may have other
applications outside the adjustment method or project selection model outlined above. These
coefficients can be computed for all indicators and provinces. It would then be possible to use
them for the (proportionate) regional allocation of activities which will affect the level of
indicators. However, in this approach only the concept of relativity is taken into account while
our suggested procedure as outlined above takes both relativity and capacity into account in
obtaining the adjusted targets for provinces. Indeed
δjr are introducing the concept of relativity
into the analysis while
Mrj are addressing the question of capacity in the manner discussed
above.

16



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