Output Effects of Agri-environmental Programs of the EU



Table 2: Results of Monte Carlo simulations (n=2000)

coefficient

t-ratio

#

OEPUL program

mean

5%-limit

95%-limit

mean

5%-limit

95%-limit

1

Elementary support

0.037

0.005

0.069

1.65

0.21

3.11

2

Organic farming

-0.110

-0.145

-0.070

-4.38

-6.04

-2.65

3

Non-application of agro-chemicals, whole farm

-0.065

-0.117

-0.011

-1.79

-3.28

-0.29

4

Crop rotation measures

0.015

-0.008

0.037

0.99

-0.47

2.41

5

Extensive cereal cultivation

-0.119

-0.148

-0.090

-6.21

-7.69

-4.69

6

Non-application of growth regulators

-0.005

-0.029

0.021

-0.30

-1.75

1.18

7

Non-appl. easily sol. com. fert. & growth regulators

-0.039

-0.104

0.032

--0.80

-2.16

0.65

8

Non-appl. easily sol. com. fert. & synth. chem. Crop prot.

-0.028

-0.161

0.113

-0.29

-1.62

1.12

9

Non-application of fungicides

-0.016

-0.102

0.068

-0.27

-1.68

1.09

10

Non-application of synthetic chemical crop protection

-0.091

-0.258

0.068

-0.80

-2.28

0.59

hi, 1997 (no-OEPUL yields)

0.849

0.770

0.933

16.69

15.98

17.36

R2

0.35

0.34

0.36

12



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