Cyclical Changes in Short-Run Earnings Mobility in Canada, 1982-1996



Table 10: Average Mobility Measures by Cyclical Phase by

Age for Men and Women, 1987-88 and 1990-91

Men

Entry

Younger

Prime

Older

Average Mobility

1987-88

26.60

26.60

24.73

22.70

1990-91

26.23

24.70

22.93

22.10

Average across years

25.42

25.59

23.76

22.03

Avg. Prob. of Moving Up

1987-88

16.27

19.57

18.33

11.67

1990-91

12.07

16.23

15.43

9.93

Average across years

14.45

18.45

17.18

11.08

Avg. Prob. of Moving Down

1987-88

10.33

7.03

6.40

11.03

1990-91

14.17

8.43

7.50

12.20

Average across years

10.98

7.14

6.58

10.95

Avg. Net Prob. of Moving Up

1987-88

5.93

12.53

11.93

0.64

1990-91

-2.10

7.80

7.93

-2.27

Average across years

3.47

11.32

10.60

0.13

Women

Entry

Younger

Prime

Older

Average Mobility

1987-88

24.50

23.13

17.97

17.57

1990-91

22.27

23.20

17.13

16.80

Average across years

22.63

22.80

16.79

16.53

Avg. Prob. of Moving Up

1987-88

11.20

11.90

10.10

5.30

1990-91

9.23

11.97

10.00

5.43

Average across years

10.05

11.95

9.66

5.26

Avg. Prob. of Moving Down

1987-88

13.27

11.23

7.90

12.27

1990-91

13.07

11.23

7.13

11.37

Average across years

12.58

10.85

7.13

11.26

Avg. Net Prob. of Moving Up

1987-88

-2.07

0.67

2.20

-6.97

1990-91

-3.83

0.74

2.87

-5.94

Average across years

-2.53

1.10

2.53

-6.00

478


Charles M. Beach and Ross Finnie



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