Appendix Table 22: Projections of Population, Participation Rate and Labour Force, Canada, Provinces and
Territories, 2001 and 2017
Panel J: The Territories (Nunavut, Yukon, NWT), Population Aged 15+
|
_______2001 |
__________2017________ |
% Change 2001- |
Absolute Change | |
|
Total Population1,4 |
72,530 |
87,200 |
20.2 |
14,670 |
|
Aboriginal Population2,5 |
32,800 |
49,100 |
49.7 |
16,300 |
|
% of pop that is Identity |
45.22 |
56.31 |
24.5 |
11.08 |
|
Total Labour Force |
50,553 |
60,778 |
20.2 |
10,225 |
|
Aboriginal Labour Force |
20,664 |
Scenario-Dependent |
- |
- |
|
Non-Aboriginal Labour Force |
29,889 |
- |
- |
- |
|
Total Participation Rate1,9 |
69.7 |
69.7 |
- |
- |
|
Aboriginal Participation Rate2 |
63.0 |
Scenario-Dependent |
- |
- |
|
Non-Aboriginal Participation |
75.2 |
- |
- |
- |
|
Total Employment Rate1, 9 |
61.3 |
61.3 |
- |
- |
|
Aboriginal Employment Rate2 |
50.2 |
Scenario-Dependent |
- |
- |
|
Non- Aboriginal Employment |
70.5 |
70.5 |
- |
- |
Notes:
The participation and employment rates in the Atlantic provinces and the territories are calculated by taking the average of the
employment rates of each individual territory and weighting each based on the working age population
Scenario 1: The participation rate of Aboriginals is 61.4 per cent in 2001. Projections for the Aboriginal labour force assume
that the Aboriginal participation rate achieves parity with the non-Aboriginal employment rate by 2017 .
Scenario 2: Projections for the Aboriginal labour force assume that the participation rate of the non-Aboriginal population does
not change from the 2001 rate of 66.6 per cent and the Aboriginal participation level for 2017 reaches the midpoint (64.0 per
cent) between the Aboriginal (61.4 per cent) and the non-Aboriginal (66.6 per cent) participation rates for 2001.
Scenario 3: Projections for the Aboriginal labour assume that the participation rate of Aboriginals (61.4 per cent in 2001) and
non-Aboriginals (66.6 per cent in 2001) remain constant.
Scenario 4: Projections assume that the Aboriginals attain the participation rate of the general population projected in Dungan
and Murphy for 2017 (65.6 per cent).
Sources:
1) Statistics Canada, Census 2001
2) Census Aboriginal Population Profiles, Statisticis Canada, Census 2001
3) Average of Labour force over the 12 months in 2001, Statistics Canada
4) Statistics Canada Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories, 91-520-XIE
5) Statistics Canada Projections of the Aboriginal Population, Canada, Provinces and Territories, 91-547-XIE
6) Projection uses the projected labour force given in Peter Dungan and Steve Murphy Long Term Outlook for the Canadian
7)Calculated using 2001 participation rates and 2001 and 2017 populations
8) Calculated from the Public Use Microdata files, Census 2001
9) The rate for 2017 is assumed to be the same as that of 2001.
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