Fighting windmills? EU industrial interests and global climate negotiations



CO2 per ton ranging from 9.2$ (in the 15 years and 3% case) to 29.8$ (in the 10
years and 5% case) will make windmills competitive compared to conventional
energy production. This result makes it easier to analyse when windmills will
gain comparative advantages.

Table 2: Implicit price of CO2

Real interest rate

$ per ton, 1998 prices

10 years

3%

25.5

5%

29.8

15 years

3%

9.2

________5%________

_____________12.9_______________

Reproduced from Hansen et al (2002), table 4, page 16.

Concerning the marginal costs of implementing the Kyoto-target, Table 3
shows estimates under the two policy options used in figure 2.

Table 3: Estimates of marginal costs of implementing the Kyoto-protocol

Reported in

Cost efficient

($ per ton)a

Domestic implementation
($ per ton)b

Clinton Administration (1998)

14-23

Nordhaus and Boyer (1999)

11

125

Zhang (2000)

9.7

Nentjes-Woerdman (2000)

250

Manne-Richels (1998)

70

240

a) The marginal costs of meeting the Kyoto target with unlimited access to
flexible mechanisms.

b) The marginal costs of meeting the Kyoto target when no flexible mecha-
nisms are feasible.

Note, that a large variation in the estimates presented in Table 3 exists. Thus,
the comparison of numbers in table 2 and 3 should only be thought of as indica-

19



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