IMPLICATIONS OF CHANGING AID PROGRAMS TO U.S. AGRICULTURE



in the 1934-38 period, but in the last few years they have had net im-
ports of 20-25 million tons.

Table 2. Compound Annual Growth Rates in Food Demand and in
Crop Output, Selected Countries

Region and
Country

Population
Growth,
1950-601

Income

Growth
per
Person1

Income
Elasticity
of Food
Demand2

Growth
in Food
Demand3

Growth
in Crop
Output,
1955-63

Crop
Output
Less Food
Demand

Percent

Percent

Percent

Percent

Percent

Percent

Latin America

Argentina

1.7

— 0.1

0.17

1.7

2.9

1.2

Brazil

3.1

2.6

.51

4.4

5.2

.7

Chile

2.5

.9

.61

3.1

2.3

— .8

Colombia

2.2

2.3

.55

3.5

4.3

.8

Costa Rica

2.3

3.7

.60

4.5

7.9

3.4

Mexico

3.1

1.9

.58

4.2

4.1

— .1

Venezuela

4.0

3.6

.61

6.2

4.4

— 1.8

Near East and
South Asia

Egypt

2.4

2.5

.65

4.0

2.8

— 1.2

Greece

1.0

4.7

.49

3.3

1.7

— 1.6

India

2.0

1.7

.80

3.4

3.0

— 0.4

Iran

2.2

.1

.79

2.6

3.3

.7

Israel

5.2

2.5

.55

6.6

5.7

— .9

Jordan

2.6

1.7

.65

3.7

— 1.9

— 5.6

Pakistan

2.2

.3

.80

2.4

2.8

.4

Turkey

2.9

3.2

.49

4.5

3.1

— 1.4

Far East

Japan

1.2

7.6

.58

4.4

1.3

— 3.1

Philippines

3.2

1.7

.75

4.5

3.2

— 1.3

Taiwan

3.4

3.7

.63

5.7

3.6

— 2.1

Thailand

3.2

2.4

.72

4.9

5.4

.5

Europe

Poland

1.8

6.0

.55

5.1

3.6

— 1.5

Spain

.8

3.9

.56

3.0

2.9

— .1

Yugoslavia

1.1

8.9

.59

6.3

4.3

— 2.0

Africa

Nigeria

3.7

1.9

.64

4.9

2.6

— 2.3

Sudan

3.4

.8

.64

3.9

5.8

1.9

Tanganyika

1.8

1.1

.64

2.5

3.1

.6

Tunisia

1.8

1.7

.65

2.9

1.4

— 1.5

1From United Nations, Compendium of Social Statistics, 1963, Series K, No. 2,
Table 1, pp. 22-30, except estimate for Israel is from Y. Mundlak, Long-Term Pro-
jections of Supply and Demand for Agricultural Products in Israel, Falk Project
for Economic Research in Israel, Jerusalem, May 1964, p. 204.

2FAO, Agricultural Commodities Projections for 1970, pp. A 14-15, and supple-
mentary data provided by FAO, Rome.

liPopulation growth plus income growth per person times income elasticity.

72



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