A Principal Components Approach to Cross-Section Dependence in Panels



We conjecture that the unbiasedness and consistency of b, the (POLS) es-
timator of RII slope coe
fficient, carry over to more complex setups. However,
an appropriate asymptotic
var(b) is needed. The latter has to account not
only for contemporaneous dependences — such as
cov(^it, vjt) and cov(^it, xjt)
which arise in finite samples to the extent that wt does not perfectly measure
zt — but also serial dependence and groupwise heteroskedasticity.

4MonteCarloAnalysis

Monte Carlo simulations are employed to assess the finite sample properties
of the proposed estimation approach. The following DGP is used

dit = Pdidi,t-1 + εdi,t; εdi,t ~ NID(0, σd,i)

Zt = PzZt-1 + εzt; εzt ~ NID(0, σ2)
xit = dit + λizt

yit = βiXit + YiZt + εit; εit ~ NID(0, σ2i)

In the first set of simulations, reported in Table 1, it is assumed Pdi = Pz =
0,
σz2 = σ2d,i = σε2,i =1and λi = βi = γi =1. In a second set, reported
in Table 2, we assume
σ2i ~ U[0.5,1.5] and γi ~ U[0.5,1.5] to introduce
groupwise heteroskedasticity and
Pdi = Pz =0.9 to introduce serial correla-
tion. The panel dimensions
N, T = {30, 300} and N, T = {30, 25} which are
typical of monthly and annual PPP studies, respectively, are used.
R = 500
replications are employed throughout. We estimate RI and RII — where wt
is the first factor extracted from the equation-by-equation OLS residuals of
RI — using the POLS, FE and MG estimators.6

The comparison focuses on the bias of the slope estimator and on the
di
fference between the true standard errors (s.e.) and various estimates of
them. The former is measured by the sample standard deviation (SSD) of the
slope estimates over replications while the latter is measured by the sample
mean (SM) of the estimated s.e. For comparative purposes, Table 1 reports
three s.e. estimates for the pooled estimators. These are
SE1 based on the
conventional formula
s2(X0X)-1 ,SE2 using (10) and SE3 based on (13).7

6All computations were performed in GAUSS version 3.2.32.

7∏            M M mg^amg

7For the MG estimator SE(θ ) = σ(θi)/ N where σ(θi) is the standard deviation
of the individual OLS estimates.

12



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