A Principal Components Approach to Cross-Section Dependence in Panels



The mean slope estimates for RI reported in Table 1(A-B) are in line with
the theoretical bias at 0.5 for the baseline DGP. Those for RII reveal that
the proposed approach succeeds in reducing bias. As expected for RI, SE
1
underestimates the true s.e. because of neglected non-zero cov(Uit,Ujt) and
cov(uit, Xjt) caused by zt.8 The SE2 underestimate the true s.e. also because
of failing to account for cov
(Uit, xjt) = 0. By contrast, the SM(SE3) matches
the SSD(
θ) quite well. However, this is not the case for RII where there is
still some underestimation in SE
3 particularly for the annual panel. The
reasons underlying this bias warrant further investigation.

If our baseline DGP is modified to have a common global influence or-
thogonal to the regressors by letting x
it = dit + λi z2t and yit = βixit +
γiz2t + εit where cov(z2t, z1t) = 0 ceteris paribus, it follows that cov(Uit,xjt) =
cov(^it, xjt) = 0. Unsurprisingly, simulations show that SM(SE2) and SM(SE3)
are reasonably close for both RI and RII. Again these estimators match the
true s.e. for RI (and SE
1 underestimates it) and they are biased downwards
for RII. For a simpler DGP where
λi =0 ceteris paribus, SE1 ' SE2 '
SE3 are correct in RI. The latter can be explained by the fact that, al-
though
cov(Uit,Ujt) = 0 the second term in (11) and (12) vanishes because
cov
(xit, xjt) = 0. This result (correct SE1) also emerges in RII.9 These exper-
iments suggest that there is an additional e
ffect in RII (over RI) not captured
by any of the covariance matrices considered and which becomes apparent
when cov
(xit , xjt) 6=0.

When the assumptions of groupwise homoskedastic and non autocorre-
lated errors are relaxed, the proposed approach continues to reduce bias
substantially as Table 2(A-B) shows. Unsurprisingly, for this DGP none
of the available covariance matrices provides accurate estimates of the true
standard errors, not even for RI. Formula (13) fails to account for the autocor-
relation pattern while the Newey-West covariance estimator for panels does
not account for the cross-equation correlations
cov(uit, Ujt) and cov(uit, Xjt).10
Finally the baseline DGP is modi
fied to introduce slope coefficient hetero-

8 The biased SE1 for the MG estimator may stem from non-zero covariances between
the coe
fficient estimates for each group driven by a common bias term δγ.

9 In the case where the unobservable global variables are uncorrelated with the regressors
our approach o
ffers efficiency gains — borne out by SSD(b) SSD(θ) — like SURE-GLS.
However, our approach has the additional advantage that no restriction is imposed on the
relation between
N and T .

10The s.e. from (13) and Newey-West (L=2) are .0561(.0277) and .0408(.0266) for FE
and POLS, respectively, for RI and .0285(.0215) and .0197(.0148) for RII (annual panel).

13



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