Improvements in medical care and technology and reductions in traffic-related fatalities in Great Britain



Table 2

Fixed effect negative binomial regressions

Dependent Variable

Total Fatalities

Serious Injuries

Slight Injuries

______a______

_______B______

_______C_______

______D______

_______E_______

_______F_______

Variables

Coef.

t-stat

Coef.

t-stat

Coef.

t-stat

Coef.

t-stat

Coef.

t-stat

Coef.

t-stat

ln(average vehicle age)

-0.362

-2.64

-0.295

-1.66

0.471

2.20

0.466

2.36

-0.029

-0.27

0.046

0.42

ln(% network miles of motorway & trunk road)

-0.134

-0.55

-0.158

-0.56

0.565

2.66

0.499

1.72

0.457

2.78

0.166

0.99

ln(% network miles of other roads)

0.047

0.48

-0.007

-0.07

-0.458

-3.67

-0.516

-4.63

0.062

1.04

0.070

1.36

ln(Motorway length per square km of area)

0.008

0.10

-0.195

-1.80

-0.182

-3.78

-0.130

-1.28

-0.151

-2.38

-0.068

-1.17

ln(Trunk road length per square km of area

0.115

0.66

0.133

0.68

-0.144

-0.79

-0.195

-0.90

-0.418

-3.63

-0.114

-0.95

ln(Vehicles per thousand population)

0.047

1.31

0.053

1.04

0.027

0.61

0.063

1.28

0.023

0.64

0.003

0.09

ln(% of household having no car)

0.108

1.09

0.131

1.38

0.143

1.25

0.147

1.39

-0.131

-1.85

-0.016

-0.27

ln(GDP £ per capita 1998 £)_______________________

0.062

0.27

0.259

1.17

0.030

0.11

-0.605

-2.36

-0.367

-2.14

-0.203

-1.35

ln(Per capita expenditure on alcohol, 1998 £)

0.395

4.09

0.223

2.24

0.408

3.86

0.441

4.42

0.210

2.92

0.118

1.89

ln(Average length of inpatient stay in the hospital)

0.283

2.48

-0.449

-3.41

-0.157

-2.16

ln(NHS staff per thousand population)

-0.090

-1.57

0.194

2.98

0.160

3.69

ln(Persons waiting for hospital treatment)

0.138

2.18

-0.159

-2.32

0.000

0.00

ln(Total population)

0.079

1.16

-0.050

-0.52

0.305

3.60

0.607

6.08

0.101

1.89

0.231

3.44

ln(% population age 0-14)

-0.245

-0.92

-0.294

-1.07

0.156

0.46

0.004

0.01

0.210

1.01

0.297

1.66

ln(% population age 15-24)

0.063

0.67

0.064

0.64

0.212

1.73

0.074

0.64

0.149

2.00

0.166

2.60

ln(% population age 25-44)

-0.131

-0.61

0.158

0.70

-0.460

-1.82

-0.314

-1.34

-0.238

-1.41

-0.050

-0.33

ln(% population age 45-64)

0.164

0.68

-0.376

-1.48

-1.901

-6.78

-1.314

-4.76

-0.336

-1.54

-0.572

-3.43

ln(% population age 65 or over)

0.615

2.91

0.562

2.37

0.587

2.15

0.443

1.64

0.358

2.25

-0.141

-0.89

constant

2.271

0.64

5.974

1.50

-2.503

-0.59

-0.422

-0.09

3.179

1.16

3.368

1.43

Number of observations

200

180

______200

_______180

______200

_______180

Log likelihood function at convergence

-858.930

-756.541

-1367.160

-1194.350

-1553.930

-1341.510

Log likelihood function at zero

-1207.726

-1207.726

-1787.880

-1787.880

-1858.280

-1858.280

Log likelihood ratio index

0.289

0.374

0.235

0.332

0.164

0.278

* year dummy variables are not shown for brevity

24



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