If the neighbour income again is assumed to be the average income DY2 = 0, and
following DY22 = 0 we have
GY = («о + αωγo) - aπγo DY + (aω - auDY)(γiDY + Y2 DY2 + Y3DOPEN)
+ βιo(C⅛o - ⅛dy>Λ (28)
GY = («o + aωγo) - aπγo DY + (aω - auDY)(γiDY + 2. DY2 + γ3DOPEN)
+ PioaioaioYo - Pio aii«ioYoDY (29)
DGY = - aiiγo DY + (aio - aiiDY)(γiDY + γ2 DY2 + γ3DOPEN)
- PioanaioY0DY (3o)
DGY = - aiiγo DY + oioγiDY + aioγ2DY2 - aiiγiDY2 - c⅛iγ2 DY3
- βio aiiCWoDY + aioγ3DOPEN + on γ3DY*DOPEN (3i)
Now the distribution of growth on income groups is described by a third degree
polynomial
DGY = (dioYi - OiiYo - PioaiiaioYo + Oii Y3DOPEN)DY
+ («ioY2 - anγi)DY2 - auγ2 DY3 + OioY3DOPEN (32)
Model 5. The Investment Cycle
If the ability of attracting investments among the regions change over the years the
coefficient can change over the years after the pattern
GY = ao + aiGI + O2GI2 (33)
GI = Yo + Yi DY + γ2 DY2 + γ3DOPEN (34)
oi = oio - aiiDY (35)
«2 = Pio (θio + OiiDY)(Oio + OiiDY2) (36)
Y = Po + βi*γEAR + β2*γEAR2 (37)
which gives the final expanded form for attracting more investments
GI = βoo + βio*YEAR + β2o*YEAR2
+ (β0i + βii*YEAR + β2i*YEAR2)DY
+ (βo2 + βi2*YEAR + β22*YEAR2)DY2
+ (βo3 + βi3*YEAR + β23*YEAR2)DOPEN (38)
and the final form for distribution and growth.
24
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