Foreign Direct Investment and Unequal Regional Economic Growth in China



If the neighbour income again is assumed to be the average income DY2 = 0, and
following DY22 = 0 we have

GY = («о + αωγo) - aπγo DY + (aω - auDY)(γiDY + Y2 DY2 + Y3DOPEN)

+ βιo(C⅛o - dy                                 (28)

GY = («o + aωγo) - aπγo DY + (aω - auDY)(γiDY + 2. DY2 + γ3DOPEN)

+ PioaioaioYo - Pio aii«ioYoDY                                    (29)

DGY = - aiiγo DY + (aio - aiiDY)(γiDY + γ2 DY2 + γ3DOPEN)

- PioanaioY0DY                                              (3o)

DGY = - aiiγo DY + oioγiDY + aioγ2DY2 - aiiγiDY2 - c⅛iγ2 DY3

- βio aiiCWoDY + aioγ3DOPEN + on γ3DY*DOPEN       (3i)

Now the distribution of growth on income groups is described by a third degree
polynomial

DGY = (dioYi - OiiYo - PioaiiaioYo + Oii Y3DOPEN)DY

+ («ioY2 - anγi)DY2 - auγ2 DY3 + OioY3DOPEN               (32)

Model 5. The Investment Cycle

If the ability of attracting investments among the regions change over the years the
coefficient can change over the years after the pattern

GY = ao + aiGI + O2GI2                             (33)

GI = Yo + Yi DY + γ2 DY2 + γ3DOPEN                  (34)

oi = oio - aiiDY                                      (35)

«2 = Pio io + OiiDY)(Oio + OiiDY2)                          (36)

Y = Po + βi*γEAR + β2*γEAR2                       (37)

which gives the final expanded form for attracting more investments

GI = βoo + βio*YEAR + β2o*YEAR2

+ (β0i + βii*YEAR + β2i*YEAR2)DY

+ (βo2 + βi2*YEAR + β22*YEAR2)DY2

+ (βo3 + βi3*YEAR + β23*YEAR2)DOPEN               (38)

and the final form for distribution and growth.

24



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