225
Table 7.17: Zambia commodity prices, nominal and 1985 deflated kwatcha a
|
Year |
Maize |
Tobacco |
Wheat |
Cotton |
Triple super |
Urea | ||||||
|
Nominal' Deflated |
Nominal' Deflated |
Nominal' Deflated |
Nominal |
Deflated |
Nominal |
Deflated |
Nominal' D |
eflated | ||||
|
1970 |
3.50 |
25.36 |
0.81 |
5.87 |
0.17 |
1.23 | ||||||
|
1971 |
4.00 |
27.40 |
0.81 |
5.55 |
0.17 |
1.16 |
4.70 |
32.19 |
4.19 |
28.70 | ||
|
1972 |
4.30 |
27.92 |
0.88 |
5.71 |
0.17 |
1.10 |
3.13 |
20.32 |
2.80 |
18.18 | ||
|
1973 |
4.30 |
26.22 |
0.88 |
5.37 |
0.17 |
1.04 |
4.00 |
24.39 |
3.55 |
21.65 | ||
|
1974 |
4.30 |
24.29 |
0.96 |
5.42 |
0.25 |
1.41 |
3.90 |
22.03 |
4.05 |
22.88 | ||
|
1975 |
5.00 |
25.64 |
0.84 |
4.31 |
16.00 |
82.05 |
0.30 |
1.54 |
3.90 |
20.00 |
4.05 |
20.77 |
|
1976 |
6.30 |
27.27 |
0.97 |
4.20 |
16.00 |
69.26 |
0.40 |
1.73 |
6.45 |
27.92 |
6.74 |
29.18 |
|
1977 |
6.30 |
22.74 |
1.10 |
3.97 |
16.00 |
57.76 |
0.40 |
1.44 |
6.45 |
23.29 |
6.74 |
24.33 |
|
1978 |
6.30 |
19.50 |
1.45 |
4.49 |
20.00 |
61.92 |
0.46 |
1.42 |
6.45 |
19.97 |
6.74 |
20.87 |
|
1979 |
9.00 |
25.42 |
1.51 |
4.27 |
20.00 |
56.50 |
0.46 |
1.30 |
13.50 |
38.14 |
8.75 |
24.72 |
|
1980 |
11.70 |
29.62 |
1.57 |
3.97 |
20.00 |
50.63 |
0.46 |
1.16 |
11.50 |
29.11 |
11.65 |
29.49 |
|
1981 |
13.50 |
29.93 |
1.65 |
3.66 |
26.00 |
57.65 |
0.46 |
1.02 |
13.65 |
30.27 |
9.65 |
21.40 |
|
1982 |
16.00 |
31.56 |
2.40 |
4.73 |
32.00 |
63.12 |
0.47 |
0.93 |
16.65 |
32.84 |
10.95 |
21.60 |
|
1983 |
18.30 |
30.20 |
2.70 |
4.46 |
35.75 |
58.99 |
0.52 |
0.86 |
25.80 |
42.57 |
14.95 |
24.67 |
|
1984 |
24.50 |
33.65 |
2.80 |
3.85 |
42.50 |
58.38 |
0.58 |
0.80 |
28.45 |
39.08 |
24.10 |
33.10 |
|
1985 |
28.32 |
28.32 |
3.45 |
3.45 |
45.20 |
45.20 |
0.67 |
0.67 |
28.45 |
28.45 |
26.75 |
26.75 |
|
1386 |
55.00 |
35.71 |
5.12 |
3.32 |
86.40 |
56.10 |
0.84 |
0.55 |
64.00 |
41.56 |
26.75 |
17.37 |
|
1987 |
78.00 |
34.77 |
6.25 |
2.79 |
111.00 |
49.49 |
1.60 |
0.71 |
64.00 |
28.53 |
65.00 |
28.98 |
|
1988 |
80.00 |
23.06 |
14.00 |
4.04 |
190.00 |
54.77 |
3.00 |
0.86 |
64.00 |
18.45 |
65.00 |
18.74 |
|
1989 |
108.00 |
13.61 |
14.40 |
1.81 |
225.80 |
28.46 |
3.60 |
0.45 |
77.00 |
9.70 |
71.00 |
8.95 |
a. Price deflator is the low-income CPI.
Source: Derived from Zambia CSO data.
VII. Conclusions
It should be stressed that these are foundational national data upon which much of the
published national statistics found in international sources is based. The reliability of these foundational
data has been questioned, suggesting that extreme caution be exercised as statistics based upon these
data are used to inform policy. In reporting rather remarkable growth rates from 1974 to 1990 of as
much as 78 percent for commodities in Zambia, the World Bank adds in a footnote:
Unfortunately, the data on gross output...do not appear to be consistent with the
official data on GDP growth in agriculture....We include this information, however,
because it is the only data on this subject and because the relative importance of land
increases and yield increases is consistent with our understanding and other evidence
(World Bank 1993b, p. 24).