Investment and Interest Rate Policy in the Open Economy



EtbtR+1 =

ACRPIbtR,

R   RR

bt = mcn xt

πR 1 πR K R1 , and ARPI
t-1 t t ,            CPI

1 α(2a 1) + ʌ' 1 + J1
β

α2

(2a1)

α J2 (1 + αJ1 )

J3 (1 + αJ1)

0

(2a 1) + J1J1

α(2a 1)

J2 J1

J3J1

0

0

0

0

1

0

Λι(2α-1)
β

0

2(1-a)μ
β

1+2(1-a)βμ
β

0

_ Γ σ(2a-1)C . 4θa(1-a) Z1

-    [    =    + (2a-1) =J

J4

0

0

1+

C+δ2(1-a)
(2
a-1)     .

where J1 = (1-Л2)22а-1), J2 =

2(1
(2a

-a)μ

-1)β , J3 =

μβ(2a-1)and J4

= ((21a-1)) KZ [1 + α4θa(1 — a)] +

σα(2a 1) K=. Now there are two predetermined variables KR and ΠR-1. Note that the
eigenvalue associated with the capital stock dynamics is the same regardless of the index


of inflation targeted. The Appendix proves the following:


Proposition 3 Suppose that monetary policy reacts to current-looking consumer price
inflation. Then for an active monetary policy (μ > 1), the necessary and sufficient con-
ditions for determinacy of the difference system are:


(Case I)   a > 0.5 and at least one of (33) and (34) is satisfied;


(2β l)Λ2 Λι 2 + α(1 Λ2)(2a 1)]
Λ
2β2(l a)


(33)


2(1


ʌ λ4
a) + Â2J


2(1 a)(1 β)μ + λ ^1   Л2)](1 + Λι)

Λ2


+ (1 β) + μ ι Λ4] + 2(1 a)μβ + —— > 0;
Λ
2


(34)


1 Γ . C 1

(Case II) 0.5 > a > 2—δ 1 δ = 2


and


Λ         2Λ-2(1 + β)[1 + 2μ(1 — a)]       .,.    2α(1 2a)      ,

1 (1+ μ)[α(1 2a)(2 Λ2) Λ2] if 1 + α(1 2a) 2,


(35)


and at least one of (33) and (34) is satisfied;


17




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