Investment and Interest Rate Policy in the Open Economy



— 1 + α2ɑɪ + ao 0 —2(1 + β) — (μ + 1)Λι


1 (2a - 1)α(2 - Λ2)'
. +           Λ2          .


< 0,


(A4)


and either


a0 a0a2 + a1 1 0,                           (A5a)

or


|a2| 3.

(A5b)


Assume μ > 1, since otherwise the aggregate system would be indeterminate. Then Case
I is not relevant since condition (A1) is violated by assumption. For Case II, condition
(A3) is satisfied
μ > 1 since 1 α(2a 1) 0. If a > 0.5 then by inspection condition
(A4) is automatically satisfied and either (A5a) or (A5b) is required for determinacy. If
a < 0.5 then condition (A5a) can be derived as:

λi^1 2a)μ λ12a)(μ 1)         .      ,      . .

-----+—+---- --------+--+ λ1 + a2e + (1 2a)αΛ 1

Λ2β             Λ2

+ (1 β) + Λιμ +


Λια(1 2a)μ(1 β)
Λ
2β


> 0,


which is always satisfied by inspection and thus condition (A5b) does not apply. Fi-
nally condition (A4) is automatically satisfied provided
(1-2a)α(2-^2) < 1. Otherwise the
following upper bound on
μ is required: μ < л^^-'а'+в—Лг'-Лг]1.

Now suppose that the eigenvalue eκ is stable, |eK | 1 which requires a < 2-g [1 δ 2 C] <
0.5. Determinacy then requires that the remaining three eigenvalues be outside the unit
circle. From the characteristic equation of
ARPI this implies that r(0) = Л1^Л2/з-2а) > 0.

If μ > 1 then r(1) = (μ-- [1 + α(1 2a)] 0. Therefore if r( 1) 0 then

β

the three roots, either real or complex, are outside the unit circle. Since r(1) =
2(1+ β) Λ1(μ +1) [1 а(1-2Л)2(2-Л2)], then r( 1) 0 provided α(1 2a)(2 Λ2) Λ2
and 1 + μ > λ l α(1 ''(1,,)., 2''4.22, Л2 . This completes the proof.

A.2 Proof of Proposition 3

If monetary policy targets current-looking consumer price inflation then one eigenvalue of

the coefficient matrix ARPI is given by eκ 1 + (2a1-1)

[= + 2δ(1 a)]. The remaining


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