Table 10
Russia: performance results, one period ahead out of sample forecasts
Type of Forecast Root Mean Squared
Error
Mean Absolute
Error
Mean Absolute
Percent Error
|
Static 0.125 0.041 Dynamic 1.362 1.340 |
0.930 29.700 |
---Lnrureer -----Lnrureerfi---lnrureerf2
Fig 5. Russia, out of sample forecasting for the post crisis period; specification 4
* LNRUREER is the Actual Log Real Exchange Rate
LNRUREERF1 is the ‘Static Forecast’, one period ahead
LNRUREERF2 is the ‘Dynamic Forecast’, one period ahead
41
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