Migration and Technological Change in Rural Households: Complements or Substitutes?



TABLE 6

____________________Determinants of migration decision (logit model)____________________

Specif. Marginal and

(1)       fixed effects

Specif.

(2)

Marginal and
fixed effects

Number of males in the hh.

Number of females in the hh.

Number of children in the hh.

Most educated in the hh

Age of hh. head

(Age of hh.head)2

Religion (whether it is Muslim)

Land owned (pae)

[Land owned (pae)]2

Cattle owned (pae)

[Cattle owned (pae)]2

Farm equipment owned

Whether own tubewells

N. of hhs. In the ‘bari’

Self-poor assessment

% out-migrants in the village

Regional dummy

Constant

0.698

(11.39)***

0.189

(2.75)***

-0.115

(3.49)***

-0.044

-0.58

0.004

-0.18

0

-0.6

1.058

(6.53)***

-1.112

(3.31)***

-1.418

(5.69)***

-0.061

-0.64

0.282

-0.77

0.008

-1.38

-0.039

-0.37

4.401

(5.32)***

-1.076

(2.61)***

-3.887

_________(5.49)***

0.101

0.027

-0.017

-0.006

0.001

0.000

0.114

-0.160

-0.204

-0.009

0.044

0.001

-0.006

0.634

-0.154

0.707

(11.44)***
0.193

(2.80)***

-0.113

(3.41)***

-0.021

-0.27
0.003

-0.13

0

-0.52

1.077

(6.59)***

-1.622

(4.73)***
0.385

(3.67)***

-1.987

(6.39)***
0.715

(4.21)***

-0.039

-0.42
0.199
-0.54
0.008

-1.42

-0.06

-0.58

4.42

(5.31)***

-1.106

(2.68)***

-3.879

(5.43)***

0.103

0.028

-0.016

-0.003

0.000

0.000

0.117

-0.236

0.056

-0.289

0.104

-0.006

0.031

0.001

-0.009

0.644

-0.159

Observations                                 3404                        3404

Pseudo R2 =                               0.3352                      0.3381

Chi2(2) = 22.45

Joint Sign.Land1                                                         P = 0.000

Chi2(2) = 42.72

Joint Sign.Cattle2                                                            P = 0.000

% of correct predicted probabilities            80.35%                       80.55%

Robust - statistics in parentheses; * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%

1 Joint significance of land owned and land owned squared.

2 Joint significance of cattle owned and cattle owned squared.__________________________________________

Other household characteristics have the expected sign in shaping the propensity to migrate,
although the educational variable included in the model (i.e. the education level of the most
educated person in the household) does not appear significant. This result would contradict

19



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