The name is absent

Van Gool & Bridges

TABLE 5: INTERVENTION SETTING, TARGET GROUP AND THE RESPECTIVE NUMBER OF
CHD DEATHS

SETTING	TARGET	POPULATION (25-74)		EXPECTED NO. OF CHD DEATHS PER YEAR (25-74)
SETTING	TARGET	Male	Female	Male	Female	Total
GP Based	High-risk Individuals:
	Obese	17,590	18,141	48	21	69
	Inadequate Physical Activity	100,067	103,200	257	HO	367
	Total Cholesterol	80,132	66,515	252	85	337
	Hypertension	33,225	50,391	120	75	195
Community	High-risk Groups:
	Low SES Areas	124,706	128,610	302	141	443
	Selected Migrant Groups	54,023	53,231	128	78	216
	Aboriginal and TSI	3,275	3,507	16	7	23
Mass Media	Whole Population	195,444	201,562	387	165	552
HospitaURehabilitation People with CHD		3,332	1,428	40	7	47

Having estimated the number of CHD events likely to occur in the different target
groups, attention is now turned to the measurement of the effectiveness of the four
interventions. The effectiveness evidence on each intervention stems from the relevant
papers, discussed in section 3.2. This paper has used the effectiveness measures (that is,
reduction in risk factors) of these studies and translated them into the epidemiological
profile of the South Western Sydney region.

For the ‘high-risk individual’ intervention, the population estimates do not take into
account the overlap which may exist between risk factors. That is, a large group of
people may have multiple risk factors. Hence, the figures in Table 5 can not be
aggregated to obtain the total number of CHD deaths. This rule applies to the “high-
risk individuals” and the “high-risk groups” interventions.

To overcome this problem, it has been assumed that for “high-risk individuals” there is
an overlap of people with multiple risk factors of approximately 30 %. In the “high-risk
group” intervention, we have assumed there is 100 % overlap between people living in
low SES areas, ethnicity and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.

Chere Project Report 11- November 1999

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