58
term limits are less than a third of all of those who occupied a seat in the House. Thus,
the aforementioned low expectation of substantive effects over congressional
performance has more empirical arguments.
Table 5.3: Percentage of Legislators that Jumped to the House
immediately after being Term Limited -1983-2007 (N=56)
|
• ⅛ No |
Term Limits , Yes |
Total |
|
_______39 |
___18 |
57 |
|
68.42 |
__31.58 |
100 |
At the mayoral side, a higher proportion of legislators have previously been
municipal executives. 132 politicians comprise almost 9% of the legislative sample. In
contrast, taking these individuals as a proportion of the existing mayoral positions
(11,781 in the period in my sample), just 1.2% of mayors have jumped to the House. If
the individual politicians that have been mayors are considered, then 1.9% of these 7,118
have occupied a legislative spot in further periods. Of course, the sample of mayors is
exponentially bigger than that of governors (2,210 vs. 24), which increases the static
probability of any politician in the House having been a mayor rather than a governor.
Table 5.4: Percentage of Legislators that have previously been
Municipal Executives -1983-2007
|
Previous Mayor |
Freq. |
Percent |
|
θ |
1,369 |
91.21 |
|
_________________1________________ |
132 |
8.79 |
|
Total |
1,501 |
100 |