The name is absent



88

where x*k is the set of the values of the covariate in the cluster A:, ξfc is a latent variable,
and g(∙ I ξ⅛) and
q(β are auxiliary probability models. For categorical covariates xi
{1, ∙ ∙ ∙, Q} they introduce a vector ξk = (ξ⅛ι,... ,ξfe<ρ) and use q(xi = q ∣ ξfcg) = ξkq
and g(ξ) as a Dirichlet distribution with parameters β1,..., βq. We get,

q<x*∖          ∏⅞ γ<A + 77⅛)                   /4 η

Assuming that the parameters of this Dirichlet distribution are all equal to, say, β,
the expression above reduces to:

z *λ W)∏,Γ(∕⅛g)             f,8,

5(¾) v(βγ3 Vç#sk + Q5)                    ( ∙ )

and, when /3=1,

f υ Π9Γ(mfcg + l) ∏ρWg!
mi°< r(#Sfe + Q) (#Sfc + Q-l)!

This is exactly the coefficient d(S⅛) in (4.4) of the definition of our NEPPM with
7 = 1.

The proposed model p(pn ∣ xn) defines a sequence of probability models across
sample sizes
n. The question arises whether the model is coherent across n. Ideally
the model for
n should arise from marginalization of the model under n + 1. Below
we show that, in general, this is not true. Let
ρn = (Si,..., Sλ-) denote a partition
of the set {1,..., n}. Recall the model, using the notation in (4.8)

p(pn = (Sl,...,Sκ)xn) =

(4.9)


The normalizing constant, gn(x"), is equal to ∑pn ∏^L1 cu(Sk)g(xk).

Let {pnn+1 — P) denote the partition of {1,... ,n + 1} after adding the index
n + 1 to the Ath cluster of
pn, for I — 1,..., K + 1. Then,

P(ψn+l


Pr(pn, φn+l = I I xn,xn+1 = q)

Pr{pn I xn)

gn{xn) c(Si+)

5n+ι(zn+1) c(Si)


{miq+β

*Sl+βQ'
a∕Q>


<l<K


l = K + .




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