The name is absent



86

the distribution on partitions induced by ties corresponds to a PPM with cohesions
c(Sfc) =
a × (#Sfc — 1)!∙ Here #A denotes the cardinality of a set A and a is the total
mass parameter of the DP prior.

A feature of the PPM induced by the DP is that it is a priori exchangeable with
respect to the experimental units, which makes it inadequate for our application.

We now define a non-exchangeable PPM (NEPPM). In particular, applied to the
clustering of disease sub-types {1,... ,n} we define a model that increases the prior
probability of any two subtypes
i and i' with equal prognoses xi = xi> to cluster
together.

In general, we define a probability model for random partitions of experimental
units {1,...,
n} with categorical covariates xi ∈ {1,..., Q} such that clusters with
homogeneous covariates are encouraged
a priori.

We define

к

Pr{pn = (Si,... ,Sκ) oc JJc(Sfc), where c(Sfc) = cD(Sfc)d(Sfc), (4.3)
fc=l

Cn(Sfc) = a(#Sk — 1)! is the cohesion induced by the DP and

(i—rQ t ∖

∏q=l ^lfcg! ʌ                               ,   .

(#Sfc + Q-l)!y  ∙                      ( ' }

Here Q is the number of different categories, mfcg the number of experimental units of
category
q in the cluster Sfc and 7 is a nonnegative constant, common to all cohesions,
that gives strength to the cohesion of homogeneous clusters. We refer to d(Sfc) as a
“similarity function.” It serves the purpose of increasing the probability of forming
clusters with more homogeneous covariate values
Xi, i Sk- The higher the value
of 7, the stronger the prior emphasis on homogeneous clusters. More homogeneous
clusters
Sk have larger d(Sk). In our specific application, we have Q = 3 prognoses,
and
mkq for q = —1,0,1, are, respectively, the numbers of sarcoma subtypes with
poor, intermediate and good prognosis in the cluster
Sk- As desired, the resulting
prior probability model is non-exchangeable.



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