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63

3.4.2 Posterior Simulation

The model defined in (3.26)-(3.30) is a DPM. It includes a conjugate Poisson sample
model and gamma baseline distribution of the DP, and conditionally conjugate prior
specifications for other parameters. This greatly facilitates posterior simulation by
MCMC simulation.

The implementation of posterior MCMC follows the standard posterior simulation
method for DPM models given in, for example, Neal (2000) and MacEachern and
Müller (1998). This method was described in the Section 3.2. In particular, we use
the model augmentation with a latent Beta random variable proposed by West (1992)
(step (d) of the Section 3.2), to implement inference for the total mass parameter
a.

The remaining parameters μi,tμ,tβ and have closed form conditional posterior
distributions conditional on currently imputed values for all other parameters and
latent variables. Let N denote the data. When stating a complete conditional pos-
terior distribution on this section, we make explicit only the relevant quantities (for
example, since
iμN,μι,... n,tβ,tg does not depend on N, or we just write
|Д1 > ∙ ∙ ■ ) ∕⅛)∙

We apply the Gibbs sampling scheme consisting of steps (a)-(e) in Section 3.2 to
simulate from the posterior distribution of the model proposed model. We notice that
the parameters τi,
Fi(∙ θi), and 7 of the general DPM model (3.9) are equivalent to
Ni, (3.26), (tβ,tg) in our specific proposed model. There is no common parameter ,σ,
for all Ni,s and, then, step (c) is not necessary. The rest of the parameters in (3.9) and
its correspondents in our specific application have the same names; an extra step (f)
is included in the Gibbs sampling scheme to account for the parameters
μi∙, and, the
following configuration - a set of variables
(K, (β*, δ*y), φ) equivalent to (∕¾, δ1),...,
(βn,δn),
see Section 3.2- is required:

• (∕3*, <P) = (∕3∣, jɪ),..., (∕⅞-, ¾∙) represents the K unique values of (βι,δβ),...,

nn).



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