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increases by 0.1 log-points (approximately 10 percent) student achievement declines by 0.15
“core” country standard deviations.

Table 4. The effect of government consumption on student achievement

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

Gov. consumption spending,

0.107

-1.462**

-0.650

-1.021*

-1.596**

-1.100**

-1.060

-1.086

percent of GDP (log)

(0.414)

(0.378)

(0.509)

(0.486)

(0.558)

(0.377)

(0.945)

(1.551)

GDP per capita (log)

-

1.502**

1.234*

1.123*

2.056**

0.483

1.451

3.735*

(0.213)

(0.485)

(0.475)

(0.748)

(0.292)

(0.698)

(1.473)

Percentage secondary school

-

0.763**

0.510

0.736*

2.238**

1.268**

0.424

1.454

attained among adults (log)

(0.292)

(0.409)

(0.371)

(0.836)

(0.271)

(0.639)

(1.052)

Population size (log)

-

0.040

2.279*

1.515

-8.492

-0.048

5.221*

-11.04

(0.77)

(1.046)

(0.978)

(6.758)

(0.62)

(2.241)

(8.728)

Trend

-

-

-

-0.041**

-

-

-

-

(0.014)

Country fixed effects

No

No

Yes

Yes

Yes

No

Yes

Yes

Time fixed effects

No

Yes

Yes

No

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

County specific trends

No

No

No

No

Yes

No

No

Yes

Observations

232

208

197

197

187

128

128

124

No of countries

72

59

48

48

43

28

28

26

Sample

All

All

All

All

All

OECD

OECD

OECD

R2

0.0003

0.455

0.943

0.937

0.982

0.301

0.851

0.932

R2 (within)

-

-

0.222

0.133

0.740

-

0.298

0.679

Note. Absolute standard errors in parentheses, +, * and ** denote significance at 10, 5 and 1 percent level,

respectively.

Columns (3) to (5) of Table 4 present models with country fixed effects that mitigate a
potential omitted variable problem.16 In particular, the fixed effects approximate various
omitted factors such as organization of schools, curriculum, school autonomy and
centralization of exams. In the specific context of Table 4, they also capture that student
achievement is highest in rich and well-educated countries. However, including country fixed
effects in addition to year effects in column (3) does not change the point estimates of GDP
and adult education attainment much compared to column (2), although the standard errors are
twice as large as in the model with only time fixed effects (column (2)). On the other hand,
the effect of government consumption is reduced and becomes insignificant.

16 The number of observations is reduced in the fixed effects models because only countries with at least two
observations can contribute to the identification.

16



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