of technical education.11 The estimates are negative for males, significant at a
ten per cent level, and positive for females. To check that the estimates are not
an artefact of increases in annual earnings from initially low levels, the second
row from the top shows estimates of samples where the AE participants are
conditioned to have registered annual wage earnings above SEK 100,000, at
least in one year both before the first and after the last registration at komvux.
The coefficient values are then slightly higher in three of the first four columns.
The coefficients associated with AE participants with UBS are insignifi-
cantly different from zero for males. A rather large fraction, 45 per cent, was
still enrolled in AE in 1999. If one conditions the sample to not be registered in
AE after 1998, the implications remain. This is at odds with several earlier
evaluations of the AEI but these have all included individuals aged 25-55.
Stenberg and Westerlund (2007) and Stenberg (2007) both find evidence that
the effects were stronger among the older half of the participants and also ten-
dencies that males remained in AE due to dismal employment prospects. The
estimates may partly reflect decreasing returns to the large amounts of credits
many of these individuals accomplished.
11 An improved grade point average raises the probability of acceptance into university, but a
condition at this stage of the analysis is that there must have been no registration in higher edu-
cation.
26
IFAU - Does adult education at upper secondary level influence annual wage earnings?
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