Imitation in location choice



mation is less than its marginal benefit] simplifies to C'(0) < σ22. When this condition
is satisfied, the interior solution
θ solves:

σ2a = C ' ( θ ι).

(13)


After making the substitutions σ1 = σ2 1, σ2 = σ22, and var(y 1) = θ2(σ2 1) =
θ1σa2, Firm 2’s conditional expectations, E[a|y1, x2] and var(a|y1, x2), can be expressed
in terms of
θ1 and θ2:

-1

E[ay 1(θ 1),x2; θ2] = μa + [cov(y 1 ,a) cov(x2,a)]


var(y1)


cov(y1, x2)


cov(y1 ,x2)    var(x2)


y 1( θ 1) μa

x2


and:


=  μa+[θ 1 σa σa]


θ 1 σa θ 1 σa        θ 1 x 1

θ 1 σa σa2         x2


θ1(1 — θ2)      θ2(1 — θ1)

= μa + 1  θlΓx 1 + 1 θlΓx 2

1 — θ1θ2         1 — θ1 θ2


(14)

(15)


var(ay 1(θ 1),x2; θ2)


σa2 [θ1σa2 σa2]


θ 1 σ22 θ 1 σa         θ 1 σi

θ 1 σ2 σ22        σ2


(16)


= σ2[1 (θ 1 + θ2 2θ 1 θ2)/(1 θ 1θ2)].              (17)

Equation (15) implies that the more information Firm 1 acquires, the less weight
Firm 2 places on its own private signal (i.e.,
[θ2(1 — θ 1)/(1 — θ 1 θ2)] = — θ2(1
θ
2)/(1 — θ 1 θ2)2 0). As long as θ 1 > θ2, equation (15) also shows that Firm 2 will
weight Firm 1’s information more than its own, and if
θ2 =0, locate exactly where
Firm 1 does:
y2 = y = μ2 + θ 1 x 1.

The following expression, which is positive, measures the marginal benefit to Firm
2 of its private information:

_ d var( aly,(θ 1) ,χ 2; θ 2) = σ2(1 θ 1)2 / (1 θ 1 θ                    (18)

∂θ2

12



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