Perfect Regular Equilibrium



We first provide a formal definition of the regular consistency in general multi-period
games with observed actions.

Definition 4 An assessment (μ,δ) is regularly consistent if given each i, 1) μ1 is the
same as η
-t and 2) for each t > 2 and each (θt. a1..... at-2) Θt × A1 ×∙∙∙× A2, μti satisfies
the following functional equation:
Jjt l(θ.vl. ....at 2: dat 1)μ∕∙ 1t.a1. ....at 2: i ') =
ʃe /а^%(^.°1. ....°t~1: B)δt~θ.a1. ...,at~2; dat-1')μt- t.a1. ....at 2: -f) for every B
×
jiβj) and A ×L1fi(At-1).

That is, an assessment (μ,δ) is regularly consistent if 1) in the first period, each player
correctly forms its beliefs μ
1 based on the type and state probability measure η, and 2) from
the second period, each player employs the regular conditional probability to update its
beliefs
μti with respect to the previous action plans δt-1 and the previous beliefs μt-1 given
the information about its type and the previous actions
(θi,a1, .... al' 2). Here, Definition
4 implicitly defines
μtt as a regular conditional probability measure through the functional
equation governed by δ
t-1 and μt-1. In this way, Definition 4 can avoid the limited applica-
tion problem since the functional equation is well-defined for any arbitrary set
B ×{t.a1.
....at-2)} ×A where B ×j≠tβj) and A ×f=1β(At-1). As a result, beliefs μt can be
properly updated with respect to δ
t-1 and μt-1. Note that the functional equation can de-
termine a conditional probability of
μti only within the support14 of the product measure of
δ
t-1 and μt-1. This is because if a set A ×{=1β(At-1) is outside the support of the product
measure δ
t-1μt-1, then both sides in the functional equation become zero, and so the con-
ditional probability of
μti given A can be arbitrary. Consequently, a conditional probability
of
μti is only meaningful given a set of actions within the support of the product measure

14 In a metric space, a support of a measure is defined as the smallest closed set within which the measure
lives.

20



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