The name is absent



above, an induced measure on Pt, which will be denoted μk and we define

the set of priors


M (P*)


{∑

к


Xkμk: ʌ Δ


It is easy to check that this definition agrees with that given above for the
case
P * = {p', p'}

7.1 Consistent updating with multiple priors

The definition of consistent updating with a unique measure μ can be ex-
tended in a straightforward fashion to the case of a given
λM (P*) . For
each
k,i,t we may define μlt k as above and set

X = Wh
к

and similarly for μt+ 1 k and λ^+ 1 k For all i,t,p,k,

μlt,k (E (P)) = μlt,k(E (P))

then for all i,t,p

⅛+ 1 (E (p)) = ‰ (E (p))

so that consistent Bayesian updating for each μk is sufficient to ensure con-
sistent Bayesian updating for all
λ M (P*) . Necessity is trivial.

Now, by the definition of μk, we obtain: 5

Proposition 2 Consistent Bayesian updating for all X M (P*) holds if
and only if, for any
p,p',p'' such that p Pt, p' P * ,p" P ',

μ (p Λ p' Λ p") = μ (p Λ p') Λ μ (p'')

5By additivity, the condition includes the special cases

P (p λ p") = P (p) λ P (p")

and

p (p' Λ p") = p (p') Λ p (p").

For the first choose p P p' P*,p'' P l,, apply the condition first with p,p',p'',
then with p, -∣p', p'' and add. Similarly for the second.

12



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