The name is absent



Appendix 5.B


The Fiscal Indicator: Some Additional Results


a) SVAR based output gap (line)
and ECRI-dating of cycle (bars).


b) SVAR-indicator of fiscal balance (% potential GDP)(line, right-
hand scale) versus debt ratio (% of GDP)(shaded area, left-hand
scale).

France



66.00 -

60.00 -

54.00 -

48.00 -

42.00 -

36.00 -

30.00 -

24.00 -

18.00 -



1980 ' ' 1983 ' ' 1986 ' ’ 1989 ’ ’ 1992 ’ ‘ 1995 ’ ’ 1998 ’ 2001 ' ’ 2004


- 2.00

- 1.00

- 0.00

- -1.00

- -2.00

- -3.00

- -4.00


Germany



70.00 -

65.00 -

60.00 -

55.00 -

50.00 -

45.00 -

40.00 -

35.00 -

30.00 -



19801 l1983l l1986l l1989l l1992l l1995l l1998l 2001 ’ 2004


- 2.70

- 1.80

- 0.90

- -0.00

- -0.90

- -1.80

- -2.70

- -3.60


Portugal


1.00

0.75

0.50

0.25

0.00

-0.25

-0.50

-0.75

-1.00


0.80

0.40

- -0.00

- -0.40

- -0.80

- -1.20

-1.60

1980   1983   1986   1989   1992   1995   1998   2001   2004


1.20


70.00 -

65.00 -

60.00 -

55.00 -

50.00 -

45.00 -

40.00 -

35.00 -


1980   1983   1986   1989   1992   1995   1998   2001   2004


- 6.00

- 4.00

- 2.00

- 0.00

- -2.00

- -4.00

- -6.00

- -8.00


Spain


70.00 -

60.00 -

50.00 -

40.00 -

30.00 -

20.00 -

10.00 -

- 4.00



- 3.00

- 2.00

- 1.00

- 0.00

- -1.00

- -2.00

- -3.00

- -4.00


156



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