Notes on an Endogenous Growth Model with two Capital Stocks II: The Stochastic Case



Applying the expectations operator with respect to the information set available in period
0 to all
At-1-i gives:

Eo [ln2-i(zt-1)]   <  ρρ-αt ln Ao + (1-α+1γi-αt) ln ho + αt ln ko

+ ( ι-α + (α-α)2 ) (1 - α+γ)ln B                (39)

Since F(ht, kt, ht+1, kt+1, At) F (ht, kt, 0, 0, At) holds for the per-period return func-
tion, we know that:

F πt1-1(At-1)t2-1(At-1)t1(At)t2(At),At

ln At + (1-α+γ) ln πt1-1(At-1) + α ln πt2-1 (At-1)                (40)

must also hold. Hence for any triple (ho , ko , Ao) and for any feasible plan π, the sequence
of expected one period returns satisfies:

Eo [F(,t)] ρtlnAo + α (ρρ~α ) lnAo + ( 1α + α1-α)α) (1 -α + γ)lnB
(1-α+γ-α-αt+1 ) ln ho + αt+1 ln ko,

where F(,t) := F(kt,ht,kt+1,ht+1,At). Then for any feasible plan, the expected total
returns are bounded from above:

n

Iim     l^ ftt^F(γ^l β β(1-α+γ) ln B I       ln Ao       I (1-α+γ)ln ho I α ln ko

n→∞ Eo λJβ F (,t)J (1-β)2(1-αβ) + (1-ρβ)(1-αβ) + (1-αβ)(1-β) + T-αβ.

t=o

We know from Section 3 that:

v(h, k, A) = θ+θhlnh+θklnk+θAlnA+θBlnB             (41)

is a solution to the functional equation. The coefficients θi, with i {h, k, A, B}, are
defined as follows:

Д, — __1-α+Y__ Д, — α    Д . — _____1_____ aτlΛ —  (1-α+γ)β

θh :   (1-αβ)(1-β),  θk :   1-αβ,  θA :   (1-ρβ)(1-αβ),  and θB :   (1-β)2 (1-αβ) '

Indeed these coefficients imply that the function v(h, k, A) is below the upper bound.
The policy functions associated with
v are given by:

ht+1 = B (β-α++γ2) ht,                                (42)

kt+1 = αβAtktαht1-α+γ ( (11-α+1-γβ) )1-α .                   (43)

Hence, given any initial state (ho, ko, Ao), the plan π1* [, ho, ko, Ao] generated by the first
policy rule can be calculated explicitly. Using this plan we can also calculate the second
plan
π2*[, ho, ko,Ao]; in logs, they are:

lnt1*1[,ho,ko,Ao] = tlnB + tln βι-α++γ) +lnho,

-α γ

t-1

ln t2*1[,ho,ko,Ao] = αi (ln[αβ] + (1 - α)ln ∖      +(1 - α + γ) ln h^

i=o

t-1                                                                      t-1

+ αii (1 - α + γ)   (ln [β1(-α++γ)] +ln B) + αt ln ko + αt-1-iAi.

i=o                                                             i=o

17



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