dist. for q(k), 5 yrs.
Peak of the Real Exchange Rate US/ GE
dist. for q(k), 24 mo.
US-Germany:
Peak of the Real Exchange Rate US/ GE
dist. for q(k) - q(0), 24 mo.
Change of the Real Exchange Rate US/GE q(k) - q(0)
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Peak of the Real Exchange Rate US/ UK
US-UK:
Peak of the Real Exchange Rate US/ UK
Change of the Real Exchange Rate US/UK q(k) - q(0)
6-
от 4' ■■■ L: : : -i
OT B : :
o2-B⅛,s
от fl^^Bπ E ⅛
<υ ^ ^HMflκ>∣ if
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SiPl61820
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9
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9 14
9
Peak of the Real Exchange Rate US/ JP
US-Japan:
Peak of the Real Exchange Rate US/ JP
Change of the Real Exchange Rate US/JP q(k) - q(0)
<υ
от
3-
<υ
от
<υ
U
<υ
2 2
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9 14 (.V0^
9 ⅛°'β'
Figure 6: Real exchange rate q . Posterior distribution for the size and
location of the peak appreciation q(k) as well as for the change relative to
the impact reaction q(k) - q(0), conditional on a US monetary policy con-
traction, for the benchmark identification, EE VAR. The left column shows
the distribution over the first 20 quarters, whereas the other two columns
use a monthly scale for a closer examination of the first 24 months.
39
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