THE USE OF EXTRANEOUS INFORMATION IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POLICY SIMULATION MODEL



Table 2. PRODUCTION, PRICES, UTILIZATION AND MARKET RECEIPTS BY COMMODITY CLASS AND
NET FARM INCOME, BASE 1980 PROJECTIONS AND 1980 ESTIMATES UNDER AN
Unrestrictedproductionpolicy.

Item

Unit

1980
Base
Projections

1980 Estimates
With Programs
Eliminated 1973

Production

I eed Grains

Mil. tons

240.3

262.9

VVlieat

Mil. bu.

1547.0

1863.6

Soybeans

do.

1650.0

1812.5

Cotton

Mil. R. bales

11.9

13.6

Cattle and Calves

Mil. live lbs.

51812.0

54449.8

Pork

do.

25120.0

26067.8

Sheep and Mutton

do.

714.0

775.6

Chickens

do.

15981.0

16725.4

Turkeys

do.

2896.0

3078.4

Eggs

Mil. doz.

6422.0

6614.7

Milk

Mil. lbs.

116100.0

116250.3

Prices

Feed Grains

S/to ns

40.00

31.21

Wheat

$/bu.

1.30

.95

Soybeans

$/bu.

3.00

2.70

Cotton

$/lb.

.25

.21

Cattle and Calves

$/cwt.

31.50

28.24

Hogs

do.

23.50

20.55

Sheep and Lambs

do.

27.45

24.82

Chickens

do.

14.00

12.28

Turkeys

do.

21.00

18.36

Eggs

$/doz.

.33

.29

Milk

$/cwt.

7.50

7.41

Total Concentrates Fed

Mil. tons

230.0

241.2

Feed Grains

do.

186.0

197.0

Wheat

do.

4.0

4.3

Other

do.

40.0

39.9

Other Domestic Utilization

Feed Grains

Mil. tons

19.3

19.3

Wheat (including food)

Mil. bu.

674.7

701.5

Soybeans

Mil. bu.

1000.0

1059.7

Cotton

Mil. bales

8.5

9.6

Exports

Feed Grains

Mil. tons

35.0

47.5

Wheat

Mil. bu.

740.0

1038.4

Soybeans

Mil. bu.

650.0

744.2

Cotton

Mil. bales

3.5

4.5

Total Crop Marketing

Mil. dot

28958.2

27780.5

Feed Grains

do.

5478.8

4677.3

Wheat

do.

1870.3

1646.0

Soybeans

do.

4851.0

4788.0

Cotton `

do.

1500.9

1412.0

Total Livestock Marketings

Mil. dot

41002.4

38716.4

Cattle and Calves

do.

20853.8

19646.9

Hogs

do.

5887.3

5343.7

Sheep and Lambs

do.

249.8

245.4

Chickens

do.

2502.8

2297.4

Turkeys

do.

605.3

562.4

Eggs

do.

2083.1

1896.1

Milk

do.

8520.3

8424.5

Total Government Payments

Mil. dot

4000.0

400.0

Feed Grains

do.

1800.0

0.0

Wheat

do.

925.0

0.0

Cotton

do.

875.0

0.0

Other

do.

400.0

400.0

Total Farm Receipts

Mil. dot

73960.6

66896.0

Farm Prerequisites

do.

4398.0

4364.0

Total Gross Farm Income

do.

78358.6

71260.9

Production Expenses

do.

60598.9

62520.9

Net Income

do.

17759.7

8740.1

172



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