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Stata Technical Bulletin

25


"* AUXILIARY equations
"A Cc=500+Kl*rain∕temp

Environm. carrying capacity (n)

"

"

"* e.g. related to the

ecosystem grass production

"

"E temp

Aver, annual temperature (C)

"

"E rain

Aver, annual rainfall (mm)

"

"I X=IOOO

Prey initial density

"

"I Y=IOO

Predator initial density

"

"p κbx=o.oε

Fractional birth rate of X

"

"P Kby=O.006

Birth coefficient for Y

"

"P Kmx=O-OOl

Predation coefficient

"

"P Kmy=0.oε

Fractional death rate for Y

"

"P Kl=80

Effect of the rain∕temp ratio

"

If we wished to insert a material delay on the predator birth rate, we create a new file (volmod2. det) inserting the MDL
function in the By rate equation. The declaration of the delay time (Devt) as P statement is optional; it is possible to declare or
modify it by an option of simula.

dictionary ■(

* file "volmod2.dct"

* example model for "simula" STATA command (17/1/92)

* This is a kind of a VOLTERRA model with MATERIAL DELAY

* Ref. J. Maynard Smith, 1974. Models in ecology. Cambridge University Press.

str70 _model "Model statements"

1

"* Prey Predator Volterra model with delay                       "

Same statements as above until we get to R By

"R By=MDL [Kby*Y*(X-Y),Devt]      Birth rate of predator (n∕year) "

"* Note: MDL indicates a delay of Devt years of By contrib. to Y "

(Remaining statements the same)

"P Devt=O.5                      Delay (years) for developm. time"

Step 3: Exogenous variable file creation

Exogenous variables required by the model must be saved in an exogenous variable file, also containing a time variable
named -time. Before saving this file it is necessary to sort it by _time because simula merges the exogenous variable file to
the model by the _time variable.

Example

The exogenous variable file created contains the rainfall and temperature values for ten years. We can assume that the
values came from a stochastic weather model; they are inserted in the following .dta file:

. describe

Contains data from d:\climate.dta

0bs:

10 (max=

= 14230)

EXO-VARS for the Volterra model

Vars:

3 (max=

=     99)

1. _time

float 7.9.0g

Year

2. temp

float 7.9.0g

Annual average temper.

(C)

3. rain

float 7.9.0g

Total annual rainfalls

(mm)

Sorted by:

: _time

. list

.

.time

temp

rain

1.

1991

18

ιεεo

2.

1992

17

1300

3.

1993

ιε

1800

4.

1994

21

19εo

ε.

199S

ιε

1200

6.

1996

22

1100

7.

1997

19

ιεoo

8.

1998

20

1400

9.

1999

ιε

1700

10.

2000

16

1600

Step 4: Use of the simula command

simula requires a model file already in memory; on request, it loads and merges the exogenous variables.

simula performs the numerical integration of the model equations by the Euler (rectangular) method. The command gives
the change with time of the system conditions (state variables) starting from the initial values and with the provided parameter
values.



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