Table 1
Point Forecast Accuracy Comparisons
Daily Average Temperature
|
1-Day Ahead |
3-Day-Ahead |
5-Day-Ahead |
7-Day-Ahead |
9-Day-Ahead |
11-Day-Ahead | |
|
Atlanta Persistence |
4.50 |
8.00 |
8.72 |
9.07 |
8.99 |
9.28 |
|
Climatological |
6.93 |
6.88 |
6.84 |
7.04 |
6.93 |
6.59 |
|
Autoregressive |
4.12 |
6.45 |
6.69 |
7.03 |
6.89 |
6.59 |
|
EarthSat |
2.74 |
3.84 |
5.10 |
6.04 |
6.65 |
7.00 |
|
Chicago Persistence |
6.73 |
10.50 |
11.06 |
11.54 |
11.74 |
11.99 |
|
Climatological |
8.74 |
8.72 |
8.72 |
8.50 |
8.88 |
8.55 |
|
Autoregressive |
6.06 |
8.38 |
8.57 |
8.45 |
8.84 |
8.53 |
|
EarthSat |
3.22 |
4.70 |
6.31 |
7.46 |
8.48 |
8.92 |
|
Las Vegas Persistence |
3.78 |
6.15 |
7.08 |
7.71 |
7.96 |
7.93 |
|
Climatological |
5.99 |
5.85 |
5.80 |
6.02 |
5.97 |
5.80 |
|
Autoregressive |
3.57 |
5.20 |
5.58 |
5.92 |
5.97 |
5.78 |
|
EarthSat |
2.54 |
3.28 |
4.19 |
5.32 |
5.81 |
6.04 |
|
Philadelphia Persistence |
5.53 |
8.83 |
9.83 |
9.87 |
9.55 |
10.18 |
|
Climatological |
7.12 |
6.95 |
7.27 |
7.19 |
6.98 |
7.19 |
|
Autoregressive |
4.95 |
6.74 |
7.23 |
7.15 |
6.95 |
7.08 |
|
EarthSat |
2.61 |
3.91 |
5.35 |
6.26 |
7.24 |
8.37 |
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