Table 3. Logging and Wood Products Sectors--Percent Change for Selected Variables for Alternative Forest Service (FS) Harvest Levels Relative to
Baseline Harvest Level
Micro Affects: Short Run Scenario
|
Industry |
Variable |
Base |
0.9*FS |
0.8*FS |
0.7*FS |
0.6*FS |
0.5*FS |
0.4*FS |
0.3*FS |
0.2*FS |
0.1*FS |
0.0*FS |
|
LOGGING |
X |
0.00% |
1.66% |
2.24% |
2.07% |
1.26% |
-0.17% |
-2.27% |
-5.12% |
-8.85% |
-13.73% |
-20.20% |
|
XD |
0.00% |
-2.23% |
-5.72% |
-10.04% |
-15.06% |
-20.67% |
-26.87% |
-33.66% |
-41.10% |
-49.27% |
-58.33% | |
|
XXD |
0.00% |
26.49% |
47.49% |
64.61% |
78.43% |
89.06% |
96.44% |
100.37% |
100.21% |
95.13% |
83.61% | |
|
Q |
0.00% |
-1.32% |
-3.59% |
-6.46% |
-9.81% |
-13.55% |
-17.65% |
-22.13% |
-27.01% |
-32.37% |
-38.41% | |
|
PX |
0.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
3.00% |
3.00% |
4.00% |
4.00% |
4.00% |
5.00% | |
|
PD |
0.00% |
1.00% |
3.00% |
6.00% |
8.00% |
11.00% |
15.00% |
19.00% |
23.00% |
29.00% |
36.00% | |
|
PDD |
0.00% |
5.00% |
9.00% |
12.00% |
15.00% |
17.00% |
19.00% |
21.00% |
22.00% |
23.00% |
24.00% | |
|
E |
0.00% |
-1.85% |
-4.26% |
-7.06% |
-10.15% |
-13.52% |
-17.18% |
-21.17% |
-25.56% |
-30.49% |
-36.23% | |
|
M |
0.00% |
4.81% |
10.83% |
17.81% |
25.75% |
34.72% |
44.83% |
56.02% |
68.47% |
82.13% |
96.57% | |
|
EMPLOY |
0.00% |
2.78% |
3.78% |
3.50% |
2.13% |
-0.29% |
-3.77% |
-8.41% |
-14.37% |
-21.89% |
-31.44% | |
|
LAB |
0.00% |
2.77% |
3.77% |
3.50% |
2.11% |
-0.28% |
-3.77% |
-8.41% |
-14.36% |
-21.88% |
-31.43% | |
|
PROPR |
0.00% |
2.83% |
3.64% |
3.64% |
2.02% |
-0.40% |
-3.64% |
-8.50% |
-14.17% |
-21.86% |
-31.58% | |
|
CAP |
0.00% |
2.77% |
3.77% |
3.47% |
2.12% |
-0.29% |
-3.77% |
-8.42% |
-14.37% |
-21.91% |
-31.45% | |
|
WOOD Products |
X |
0.00% |
-3.82% |
-8.72% |
-14.29% |
-20.36% |
-26.84% |
-33.68% |
-40.86% |
-48.38% |
-56.31% |
-64.78% |
|
XD |
0.00% |
-1.96% |
-4.51% |
-7.43% |
-10.70% |
-14.25% |
-18.13% |
-22.32% |
-26.96% |
-32.13% |
-38.16% | |
|
XXD |
0.00% |
-1.96% |
-4.51% |
-7.43% |
-10.71% |
-14.25% |
-18.13% |
-22.33% |
-26.96% |
-32.14% |
-38.17% | |
|
Q |
0.00% |
-1.38% |
-3.17% |
-5.19% |
-7.43% |
-9.82% |
-12.35% |
-15.02% |
-17.86% |
-20.86% |
-24.07% | |
|
PX |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% | |
|
PD |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
3.00% |
4.00% | |
|
PDD |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
1.00% |
2.00% |
2.00% |
3.00% |
4.00% | |
|
E |
0.00% |
-4.16% |
-9.47% |
-15.51% |
-22.09% |
-29.09% |
-36.47% |
-44.18% |
-52.23% |
-60.67% |
-69.60% | |
|
M |
0.00% |
-0.61% |
-1.39% |
-2.22% |
-3.08% |
-3.91% |
-4.66% |
-5.30% |
-5.75% |
-5.86% |
-5.33% | |
|
EMPLOY |
0.00% |
-4.62% |
-10.48% |
-17.07% |
-24.14% |
-31.56% |
-39.25% |
-47.13% |
-55.17% |
-63.38% |
-71.81% | |
|
LAB |
0.00% |
-4.63% |
-10.48% |
-17.07% |
-24.14% |
-31.57% |
-39.25% |
-47.12% |
-55.17% |
-63.38% |
-71.81% | |
|
PROPR |
0.00% |
-4.69% |
-10.55% |
-17.09% |
-24.12% |
-31.49% |
-39.20% |
-47.07% |
-55.11% |
-63.32% |
-71.86% | |
|
CAP |
0.00% |
-4.64% |
-10.51% |
-17.08% |
-24.17% |
-31.52% |
-39.23% |
-47.11% |
-55.17% |
-63.40% |
-71.80% | |
|
Regional H ousehold Income Affects | ||||||||||||
|
Low |
0.00% |
-0.02% |
-0.06% |
-0.10% |
-0.15% |
-0.21% |
-0.27% |
-0.33% |
-0.40% |
-0.48% |
-0.57% | |
|
Medium |
0.00% |
-0.10% |
-0.26% |
-0.45% |
-0.67% |
-0.91% |
-1.18% |
-1.46% |
-1.77% |
-2.10% |
-2.47% | |
|
High |
0.00% |
-0.11% |
-0.29% |
-0.50% |
-0.75% |
-1.02% |
-1.32% |
-1.64% |
-1.99% |
-2.37% |
-2.79% | |
Note: Allowed harvest levels are calculated as a percent of baseline level (FS), thus 0.9*FS indicates the allowed cut is 90 percent of the base level.
21
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