NATURAL RESOURCE SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS AND REGIONAL ECONOMIC ANALYSIS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH



Table 1. The Northeast Oregon Regional Economy--1997

(Baker, Grant, Umatilla, Union, and Wallowa Counties)

FULL AND PART-TIME

EMPLOYMENT__________

________________State________________

_______Region_______

_______Jobs_________

Percent_____

_______Jobs_____

Percent

Livestock Related

24,461

1.5

5,353

8.9

Other Agriculture

42,454

2.6

3,744

6.3

Food Processing

25,053

1.6

2,792

4.7

Logging and Wood Processing

81,074

5.0

4,101

6.8

Other Ag. & Nat. Res.

26,110

1.6

1,484

2.5

Other Employment

1,420,848

87.7

42,294

70.8

Total

1,620,000________

100_______

59,768

100

(Source: IMPLAN and Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Information System, U.S. Dept.
of Commerce, Washington, D.C. [REIS CD-ROM])

Table 2. Main Features of Alternative Modeling Specifications

Model Type

Labor Supply

Other Factor
Supplies

Savings-Investment

Behavior

Comments

Short-run CGE

Perfectly Elastic
Regional Labor
Supply; Fixed Wage
Rate

Fixed Sector Supplies
of “Capital” and
“Proprietors;”
Endogenous Factor
Returns

Fixed Investment
Level (maintained
by variation in flow
of outside funds)

“Labor” is
intersectorally
mobile.

Intermediate-run
CGE

Perfectly Elastic
Regional Labor
Supply; Fixed Wage
Rate

Same as Above

Fixed Investment
Level (maintained
by variation in flow
of outside funds)

Same as above
except “Labor” is
also interregionally
mobile.

National Price
Effect CGE

Same as Above

Same as Above

Same as Above

Log prices and
Wood Product price
assumed to increase
nationally.

20



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