NATURAL RESOURCE SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS AND REGIONAL ECONOMIC ANALYSIS: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH



Table 4. Economy-Wide Employment and Factor Payments Changes by Industrial Sector Measured in Percent Change for Alternative Forest
Service Harvest Levels

Macro Affects: Short Run Scenario

Scenario

Variable

LVSTOC

FEEDLO

CRO

FEED

LOGGIN

OANR

CONS

FOOD

WOOD

HITECH

OMANU

TCU

TRADE

EDL

FIRE

OSERVS

GOVT

TOTAL

Base

EMPLOY

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

LAB

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

PROPR

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

NA

0.00%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.9*FS

EMPLOY

0.00%

0.00%

0.01

-0.00%

2.78%

-0.00%

-0.08%

0.01%

-4.62%

-0.04%

-0.33%

-0.07%

-0.12%

-0.01%

-0.03%

-0.08%

-0.07%

-0.23%

LAB

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

2.77%

0.00%

-0.08%

0.02%

-4.63%

0.00%

-0.33%

-0.07%

-0.12%

0.00%

-0.03%

-0.08%

-0.07%

-0.37%

PROPR

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

2.83%

0.00%

-0.08%

0.00%

-4.69%

0.00%

-0.61%

-0.09%

-0.09%

0.00%

0.00%

-0.08%

NA

-0.13%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

2.77%

0.00%

0.00%

0.02%

-4.64%

0.00%

-0.33%

-0.07%

-0.14%

0.00%

-0.03%

-0.07%

-0.10%

-0.06%

0.8*FS

EMPLOY

0.01%

0.01%

0.03

-0.01%

3.78%

-0.01%

-0.20%

0.03%

-10.48%

-0.08%

-0.78%

-0.15%

-0.29%

-0.02%

-0.08%

-0.22%

-0.16%

-0.58%

LAB

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

3.77%

0.00%

-0.19%

0.03%

-10.48%

0.00%

-0.78%

-0.15%

-0.29%

-0.03%

-0.07%

-0.22%

-0.16%

-0.92%

PROPR

0.00%

0.00%

0.03

0.00%

3.64%

0.00%

-0.16%

0.00%

-10.55%

0.00%

-0.61%

-0.19%

-0.26%

0.00%

0.00%

-0.21%

NA

-0.31%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

3.77%

0.00%

-0.28%

0.02%

-10.51%

0.00%

-0.74%

-0.14%

-0.27%

0.00%

-0.08%

-0.20%

-0.20%

-0.25%

0.7*FS

EMPLOY

0.01%

0.01%

0.05

-0.01%

3.50%

-0.01%

-0.33%

0.05%

-17.07%

-0.14%

-1.31%

-0.25%

-0.49%

-0.04%

-0.14%

-0.39%

-0.27%

-1.00%

LAB

0.00%

0.00%

0.00

0.00%

3.50%

0.00%

-0.33%

0.05%

-17.07%

-0.26%

-1.32%

-0.24%

-0.49%

-0.03%

-0.13%

-0.39%

-0.27%

-1.60%

PROPR

0.01%

0.00%

0.06

0.00%

3.64%

0.00%

-0.32%

0.00%

-17.09%

0.00%

-1.23%

-0.28%

-0.53%

0.00%

0.00%

-0.40%

NA

-0.54%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.07

0.00%

3.47%

0.00%

-0.28%

0.04%

-17.08%

0.00%

-1.32%

-0.25%

-0.50%

0.00%

-0.14%

-0.39%

-0.31%

-0.55%

0.6*FS

EMPLOY

0.01%

0.01%

0.07

-0.02%

2.13%

-0.02%

-0.49%

0.08%

-24.14%

-0.20%

-1.91%

-0.35%

-0.72%

-0.05%

-0.21%

-0.59%

-0.39%

-1.49%

LAB

0.00%

0.00%

0.10

0.00%

2.11%

0.00%

-0.48%

0.08%

-24.14%

-0.26%

-1.91%

-0.36%

-0.72%

-0.06%

-0.20%

-0.60%

-0.39%

-2.36%

PROPR

0.01%

0.00%

0.06

0.00%

2.02%

0.00%

-0.48%

0.00%

-24.12%

0.00%

-1.84%

-0.38%

-0.70%

0.00%

-0.39%

-0.59%

NA

-0.81%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.07

0.00%

2.12%

-0.04%

-0.56%

0.09%

-24.17%

0.00%

-1.90%

-0.34%

-0.73%

0.00%

-0.21%

-0.59%

-0.41%

-0.91%

0.5*FS

EMPLOY

0.02%

0.02%

0.10

-0.03%

-0.29%

-0.04%

-0.66%

0.11%

-31.56%

-0.27%

-2.60%

-0.47%

-0.96%

-0.07%

-0.28%

-0.82%

-0.52%

-2.02%

LAB

0.00%

0.00%

0.10

0.00%

-0.28%

0.00%

-0.66%

0.10%

-31.57%

-0.26%

-2.59%

-0.46%

-0.96%

-0.06%

-0.27%

-0.82%

-0.52%

-3.19%

PROPR

0.01%

0.00%

0.09

0.00%

-0.40%

0.00%

-0.64%

0.00%

-31.49%

0.00%

-2.45%

-0.47%

-0.96%

0.00%

-0.39%

-0.82%

NA

-1.11%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.07

0.00%

-0.29%

-0.04%

-0.56%

0.11%

-31.52%

-0.43%

-2.56%

-0.47%

-0.95%

-0.13%

-0.28%

-0.85%

-0.51%

-1.34%

0.4*FS

EMPLOY

0.02%

0.02%

0.13

-0.03%

-3.77%

-0.05%

-0.84%

0.14%

-39.25%

-0.35%

-3.36%

-0.58%

-1.23%

-0.09%

-0.36%

-1.07%

-0.66%

-2.60%

LAB

0.04%

0.00%

0.10

0.00%

-3.77%

0.00%

-0.85%

0.14%

-39.25%

-0.26%

-3.37%

-0.59%

-1.23%

-0.09%

-0.37%

-1.07%

-0.66%

-4.09%

PROPR

0.03%

0.00%

0.13

0.00%

-3.64%

0.00%

-0.80%

0.00%

-39.20%

0.00%

-3.07%

-0.57%

-1.23%

0.00%

-0.39%

-1.07%

NA

-1.42%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.14

0.00%

-3.77%

-0.04%

-0.84%

0.13%

-39.23%

-0.43%

-3.39%

-0.58%

-1.23%

-0.13%

-0.36%

-1.05%

-0.61%

-1.84%

0.3*FS

EMPLOY

0.03%

0.03%

0.16

-0.05%

-8.41%

-0.07%

-1.05%

0.17%

-47.13%

-0.44%

-4.22%

-0.71%

-1.52%

-0.12%

-0.45%

-1.35%

-0.81%

-3.23%

LAB

0.04%

0.00%

0.21

0.00%

-8.41%

0.00%

-1.04%

0.17%

-47.12%

-0.52%

-4.22%

-0.71%

-1.52%

-0.12%

-0.44%

-1.35%

-0.81%

-5.05%

PROPR

0.03%

0.00%

0.16

0.00%

-8.50%

0.00%

-1.05%

0.00%

-47.07%

0.00%

-4.29%

-0.66%

-1.49%

0.00%

-0.39%

-1.36%

NA

-1.77%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.14

0.00%

-8.42%

-0.04%

-1.12%

0.17%

-47.11%

-0.43%

-4.22%

-0.71%

-1.50%

-0.13%

-0.45%

-1.38%

-0.81%

-2.40%

0.2*FS

EMPLOY

0.03%

0.04%

0.19

-0.05%

-14.37%

-0.09%

-1.27%

0.21%

-55.17%

-0.54%

-5.20%

-0.84%

-1.83%

-0.14%

-0.54%

-1.65%

-0.97%

-3.90%

LAB

0.04%

0.00%

0.21

0.00%

-14.36%

0.00%

-1.27%

0.20%

-55.17%

-0.52%

-5.20%

-0.84%

-1.83%

-0.15%

-0.54%

-1.66%

-0.97%

-6.09%

PROPR

0.03%

0.05%

0.19

0.00%

-14.17%

0.00%

-1.29%

0.00%

-55.11%

0.00%

-4.91%

-0.85%

-1.84%

0.00%

-0.39%

-1.65%

NA

-2.14%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.21

0.00%

-14.37%

-0.09%

-1.40%

0.20%

-55.17%

-0.43%

-5.21%

-0.83%

-1.82%

-0.13%

-0.54%

-1.64%

-1.02%

-3.04%

0.1*FS

EMPLOY

0.03%

0.04%

0.23

-0.07%

-21.89%

-0.11%

-1.52%

0.24%

-63.38%

-0.66%

-6.33%

-0.98%

-2.16%

-0.17%

-0.64%

-1.99%

-1.15%

-4.63%

LAB

0.04%

0.00%

0.21

0.00%

-21.88%

-0.20%

-1.53%

0.24%

-63.38%

-0.78%

-6.34%

-0.98%

-2.16%

-0.18%

-0.64%

-1.99%

-1.15%

-7.20%

PROPR

0.04%

0.05%

0.22

0.00%

-21.86%

0.00%

-1.53%

0.00%

-63.32%

0.00%

-6.13%

-0.95%

-2.19%

0.00%

-0.78%

-1.99%

NA

-2.55%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.21

0.00%

-21.91%

-0.13%

-1.40%

0.24%

-63.40%

-0.87%

-6.37%

-0.98%

-2.18%

-0.13%

-0.64%

-1.97%

-1.12%

-3.78%

0.0*FS

EMPLOY

0.04%

0.05%

0.26

-0.08%

-31.44%

-0.15%

-1.81%

0.29%

-71.81%

-0.81%

-7.67%

-1.13%

-2.53%

-0.20%

-0.75%

-2.38%

-1.34%

-5.43%

LAB

0.04%

0.00%

0.31

0.00%

-31.43%

-0.20%

-1.81%

0.29%

-71.81%

-0.78%

-7.68%

-1.13%

-2.53%

-0.21%

-0.74%

-2.38%

-1.34%

-8.42%

PROPR

0.04%

0.05%

0.25

0.00%

-31.58%

0.00%

-1.85%

0.00%

-71.86%

0.00%

-7.98%

-1.14%

-2.54%

0.00%

-0.78%

-2.38%

NA

-3.01%

CAP

0.00%

0.00%

0.28

0.00%

-31.45%

-0.13%

-1.69%

0.28%

-71.80%

-0.87%

-7.69%

-1.12%

-2.55%

-0.26%

-0.75%

-2.36%

-1.32%

-4.62%

22



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