Cyclical Changes in Short-Run Earnings Mobility in Canada, 1982-1996



Polarization Rates, Distributional Shifts, and
the Economic Cycle

This section looks at the basic distributions of male and female workers
across earnings intervals, how these have changed over the 1982-96 period,
and the evidence for any cyclical variation in these changes.

Table 1 shows the distribution of men and women workers across
earnings intervals for the two end years of the sample and for peak (1989)

Table 1: Distribution of Workers across Earnings Intervals
for Men and Women, Selected Years, 1982-1996
(percentages)

Very
Low

Low

Low

Middle

High
Middle

High

Very

High

All Workers

1982

11.2

13.4

25.4

22.1

14.8

13.1

1983

12.0

13.9

24.2

21.3

14.8

13.9

1989

11.0

13.5

25.5

22.0

14.2

13.7

1992

12.4

14.0

23.6

21.0

14.0

15.0

1996

12.4

13.9

23.7

20.8

13.5

15.7

Mean

11.77

13.80

24.41

21.29

14.24

14.47

Men

1982

7.4

9.6

19.8

23.1

20.0

20.1

1983

8.2

10.5

19.1

21.2

19.7

21.3

1989

7.0

9.8

20.2

22.8

19.0

21.3

1992

9.4

11.3

19.5

20.2

17.5

22.1

1996

9.3

11.1

20.1

20.1

16.4

23.0

Mean

8.17

10.52

19.75

21.25

18.41

21.91

Women

1982

16.7

18.7

33.3

20.6

7.5

3.2

1983

17.2

18.5

31.3

21.4

8.1

3.5

1989

16.2

18.4

32.1

20.8

8.3

4.2

1992

16.0

17.3

28.5

21.9

9.7

6.5

1996

16.0

17.3

27.9

21.6

10.1

7.1

Mean

16.37

17.98

30.38

21.31

8.91

5.03

458


Charles M. Beach and Ross Finnie



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