Appendix Table 28: Projections of Output and Productivity in 2017 and 2001-2017 Growth Rates, According to 10
Scenarios for the Aboriginal Population
|
Base Scenario 1________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. | |
|
Canadian GDP (millions) |
1,108,048 |
1,692,459 |
2.683 | |
|
Total Employment in Canada (thousands) |
14,946 |
18,486 |
1.337 | |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousand |
15,433 |
27,446 |
3.664 | |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
91,556 |
1.328 | |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Base Scenario 2________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
39,465 |
6.044 |
2.380 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,704,479 |
2.728 |
0.045 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
91,872 |
1.350 |
____________0.022________ |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Scenario 3_____________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
31,611 |
4.583 |
0.920 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,696,625 |
2.699 |
0.016 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
91,602 |
1.331 |
____________0.003________ |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Scenario 4_____________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
34,640 |
5.183 |
1.519 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,699,653 |
2.710 |
0.027 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
91,462 |
1.321 |
____________-0.006________ |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Scenario 5_____________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
40,396 |
6.199 |
2.535 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,705,410 |
2.732 |
0.049 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
92,076 |
1.364 |
____________0.036________ |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Scenario 6_____________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
44,349 |
6.820 |
3.156 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,709,362 |
2.747 |
0.064 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
91,985 |
1.357 |
____________0.030________ |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Scenario 7_____________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
35,776 |
5.395 |
1.732 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,700,790 |
2.714 |
0.032 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
91,648 |
1.334 |
____________0.006________ |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Scenario 8_____________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
38,465 |
5.874 |
2.210 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,703,479 |
2.724 |
0.042 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
91,534 |
1.326 |
____________-0.002________ |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Scenario 9_____________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
45,499 |
6.991 |
3.327 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,710,513 |
2.751 |
0.068 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
92,172 |
1.370 |
____________0.042________ |
|
Difference with Base | ||||
|
Scenario 10____________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
Scenario (A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of Aboriginal Population (thousands |
15,433 |
48,975 |
7.484 |
3.821 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,713,988 |
2.764 |
0.081 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity____________________ |
74,136 |
92,098 |
1.365 |
____________0.037________ |
Source: Appendix Tables 47 to 57
*Estimated GDP is twice the estimated employment income, since employment income is assumed to represent half of the Canad
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