Appendix Table 29: Projections of Output and Productivity in 2017 and 2001-2017 Growth Rates, According to 10
Scenarios for North American Indian Population
|
Base Scenario 1______________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. | |
|
Canadian GDP (millions) |
1,108,048 |
1,692,459 |
2.683 | |
|
Total Employment in Canada (thousands) |
14,946 |
18,486 |
1.337 | |
|
North American Indian Employment Income as GDP (milli |
8,507 |
16,379 |
4.180 | |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,556 |
1.328 | |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Base Scenario 2______________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
26,904 |
7.462 |
3.282 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,702,984 |
2.723 |
0.040 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,747 |
1.341 |
__________0.013 |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Scenario 3___________________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
19,554 |
5.340 |
1.160 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,695,635 |
2.695 |
0.012 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,576 |
1.329 |
__________0.001 |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Scenario 4___________________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
23,053 |
6.429 |
2.250 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,699,134 |
2.708 |
0.025 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,402 |
1.317 |
__________-0.011 |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Scenario 5___________________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
26,224 |
7.290 |
3.110 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,702,305 |
2.720 |
0.037 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,936 |
1.354 |
__________0.026 |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Scenario 6___________________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
30,987 |
8.415 |
4.235 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,707,068 |
2.738 |
0.055 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,829 |
1.347 |
__________0.019 |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Scenario 7___________________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
22,729 |
6.335 |
2.156 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,698,810 |
2.707 |
0.024 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,596 |
1.331 |
__________0.003 |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Scenario 8___________________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
26,082 |
7.253 |
3.074 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,702,162 |
2.719 |
0.037 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,451 |
1.321 |
__________-0.007 |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Scenario 9___________________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
30,184 |
8.237 |
4.058 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,706,265 |
2.735 |
0.052 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,998 |
1.358 |
__________0.030 |
|
Difference with | ||||
|
Base Scenario | ||||
|
Scenario 10__________________________________________ |
2001 |
2017 |
A.A.G.R. |
(A.A.G.R.) |
|
Estimated GDP of NAI Population (thousands)* |
8,507 |
34,667 |
9.178 |
4.998 |
|
Total Canadian GDP (thousands) |
1,108,048 |
1,710,748 |
2.752 |
0.069 |
|
Canadian Labour Productivity__________________________ |
74,136 |
91,912 |
1.352 |
__________0.025 |
Source: Appendix Tables 58 to 68
*Estimated GDP is twice the estimated employment income, since employment income is assumed to represent half of the Canadian GDP.