The name is absent

iii. An Alternative Measure of Employment Rates ..............................................................................56

G. Other Indicators of Aboriginal Well-Being .......................................................................................56

i. Poverty ............................................................................................................................................. 56

ii. Crime ..............................................................................................................................................57

iii. Health ............................................................................................................................................58

IV. General Population, Aboriginal Population and Economic Projections ............................................... 59

A. Projections for the General Population ..............................................................................................59

i. Statistics Canada .............................................................................................................................59

ii. Institute for Policy Analysis ............................................................................................................ 60

B. Projections for the Aboriginal Population .......................................................................................... 60

C. Projections for the Canadian Economy ..............................................................................................65

V. Potential Labour Market Scenarios for Aboriginal Canadians With Higher Educational Attainment .. 67

A. Potential Impact of Increased Participation of Aboriginal Canadians on the Labour Force..............67

i. National Projections ........................................................................................................................ 68

ii. Provincial Projections .................................................................................................................... 70

B. Aboriginal Canadians and Employment.............................................................................................71

C. Aboriginal Labour Market Development in Western Canada, 2001-2005.........................................73

VI. Potential Output and Productivity Scenarios When Aboriginal Canadians Attain Higher Educational

Attainment................................................................................................................................................... 75

A. Assumptions and Methodology..........................................................................................................75

B. Base Scenarios - Scenarios 1 and 2...................................................................................................79

C. Partial Catching-Up in Educational Attainment - Scenarios 3 to 6...................................................81

i. Total Effect....................................................................................................................................... 82

ii. Effect of Increased Educational Attainment ................................................................................... 82

D. Complete Catching-Up in Educational Attainment - Scenarios 7 to 10 ............................................ 83

i. Total Effect....................................................................................................................................... 83

ii. Effect of Increased Educational Attainment ................................................................................... 84

iii. Cumulated Effect Over Time ......................................................................................................... 85

E. The Case of the North American Indian Population .......................................................................... 86

i. Partial Catching-up in Educational Attainment .............................................................................. 87

ii. Complete Catching-up in Educational Attainment ......................................................................... 88

VII Policy Challenges and Strategies to Improve Educational Attainment for Aboriginal Canadians: A

Selected Literature Review ......................................................................................................................... 91

A. Implications for Government Expenditures .......................................................................................91

B. The Challenge of Attaining Educational Parity..................................................................................92

C. Strategies and Recommendations to Improve Aboriginal Labour Market Outcomes........................93

D. Aboriginal Poverty in Canada: Educational Reforms at the Band and Provincial levels ..................95

VIII Future Research and Conclusion.........................................................................................................98

References................................................................................................................................................. 100

Appendix 1................................................................................................................................................ 104

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