Strategic Policy Options to Improve Irrigation Water Allocation Efficiency: Analysis on Egypt and Morocco



Table 2 Egypt: Policy Effects on Cropping Area.

policy shocks

_____Base Scenario_____

Water Pricing Scenario

N-fertilizer Tax Scenario

Pesticide Tax Scenario

_____Energy Tax Scenario_____

_____Output Tax Scenario_____

Crop Items______ _

__________Base__________

Pw1_____Pw 2_____Pw3

10%     50%     100%

50%     100%    200%

50%     100%    200%

10%     25%     50%

000fed

% Change from Base

% Change from Base

% Change from Base

% Change from Base

% Change from Base

Barley

74.4

-2          -3          -4

-             -1            -1

-             -1            -1

-2          -2          -2

-1               -                -

Nili Maize

304.8

-2          -9         -15

-1          -8         -15

-2          -4          -7

-6        -12        -24

-                  1                  1

Summer Maize

1773.5

-1           -3           -8

-            -2           -5

-               -               -1

-2          -3          -7

-                  -                  -

Wheat

2341.8

-1           -2           -5

-            -2           -4

-             -1            -2

-1           -2           -5

1                  1                  1

Nili Sorghum

11.7

-5         -24         -46

-5         -19         -41

-5          -8         -17

-            -2           5

-                  -                  -

Summer Sorghum

314.1

-1           -4           -9

-            -2           -4

-                  -                  -

-2          -4          -8

-                  -                  -

Paddy Rice

1340.3

-1          -4         -10

-             -1            -2

-             -1            -2

-2          -4          -8

-8         -21         -43

Fava bean

333.7

-3          -6         -13

-             -1            -1

-3          -7         -14

-4          -8         -16

2           3           3

Soy bean

12.7

-4         -13         -30

-            -5           -9

-              -             -3

-7        -14        -28

-                  -                  -

Other Legume

42.4

-2          -3          -8

-               -1               -

-                  -                  -

-1            -1             -

1            3            3

Long Berseem

1939.5

-1           -2           -4

-                  -                  -

-                  -                  -

-1           -2           -3

-                  -                  -

Short Berseem

561.6

-1           -2           -5

-                  -                  -

-                  -                  -

-1           -2           -4

-                  -                  -

Ground Nut

149.9

-1           -1           -5

-             -1            -2

-             -1            -1

-1           -2           -4

-                  -                  -

Lentil

5.4

-              1             -5

1            3            7

-             -1            -2

-            2            2

11         26         26

Sesame

64.6

-2          -5         -11

-            -2           -3

-                  -                  -

-2          -3          -6

-                  -                  -

Flax

18.2

-               -               -1

-                -               -1

-                  -                  -

-               -               -1

1                  -                  -

Cotton (G45)

0.1

1            -2           -4

4           -1           -2

2           -1           -2

4          4          4

4          4          4

Cotton (G70)

72.0

4  2-2

4          3          2

4          3          2

5           5           5

5           5           5

Cotton (G88)

10.6

-            -2           -6

-             -1            -2

-             -1            -2

1                  1                  1

1                  1                  1

Cotton (G80)

80.8

-1          -5         -13

-            -2           -6

-             -1            -4

1                  1                  1

1                  1                  1

Cotton (G83)

31.9

-2          -5         -11

-            -3           -6

-1           -2           -4

-                  -                  -

-                  -                  -

Cotton (G85)

80.9

-            -3           -8

1             -1            -2

-             -1            -3

1                  1                  1

1                  1                  1

Cotton (G86)

113.9

1            -2           -5

2            -            -2

1              -             -2

3           3           3

3           3           3

Cotton (G89)

128.1

-            -2           -7

1                -               -1

-              -             -2

1             2             1

2             1              1

Sugar Beet

142.6

-6         -19         -43

-5         -26         -51

-24        -47        -93

-13        -26        -52

1                  -                  -

Sugar Cane

306.4

-3         -10         -25

-1          -6         -13

-                -               -1

-4          -8         -16

-16        -40        -85

Citrus*

907.0

-                  -                  -

-                  -                  -

a                  a                  a

a                  a                  a

-                  -                  -

Summer Onion

13.9

1              -             -2

2            -            -1

1             -1            -4

2             1              -

2          2          2

Winter Onion

54.0

1              -             -3

2            -            -2

1              -             -3

2             1              -

2          2          2

Nili Potato

47.3

-             -1            -1

-            -2           -4

-1           -1           -3

-1           -1           -2

-                  -                  -

Summer Potato

62.5

-             -1            -3

-             -1            -3

-2          -3          -6

-             -1            -2

-                  -                  -

Nili Tomato

67.1

-             -1            -1

-             -1            -2

-1           -3           -6

-1           -2           -3

-                  -                  -

Summer Tomato

200.9

-1           -2           -6

-            -2           -5

-2          -5         -10

-1           -3           -6

-                  -                  -

Winter Tomato

157.8

-                  -                  1

-            -2           -4

-2          -3          -7

-1           -1           -2

-                  1                  1

Nili Vegetable

153.7

-             -1            -1

-             -1            -2

-1           -2           -5

-1           -2           -4

-                  -                  -

Summer Vegetable

463.1

-             -1            -3

-             -1            -2

-1           -2           -4

-1           -1           -2

-                  -                  -

Winter Vegetable_________

__________427.9__________

-                  -                  -

-                  -                  -

-_____________-1_____________-2

-                  -                  -

-                  -                  -

Total Land of Cultivation

_________12810.9_________

-1           -3           -7

-0.1          -2           -3

-0.6        -1.4        -3.0

-1.4        -2.8        -5.8

-0.8        -2.7        -6.0

* Citrus cultivation is fixed in the model because most of the Egyptian fruit trees are perennials.

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