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Table 3

Predicted Skills Variation
by Urban Size*

Metropolitan Area Percentile Distribution (Population)	Predicted Variation in Teaching Experience	% Difference from the Predicted Variation at the Median Population
5^th (116,638)	7.71	30.11
20^th (275,257)	6.92	16.77
40^th (684,075)	6.17	4.11
50^th (942,091)	5.93	0
60^th (1,178,410)	5.76	-2.78
80^th (2,463,953)	5.25	-11.41
95^th (5,899,345)_________	___________4.70__________	___________-20.64___________

* Skills variation was predicted using the regression Model I, in which all independent
variables (except metro area population) were evaluated at their means.

16

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