Trade Openness and Volatility



Table A3. Volatility of Annual Output Growth per Worker: Cross-Sectional Robustness Results

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

Trade/Output

0.175**

0.149**

0.296**

0.166**

0.158**

0.143**

0.276**

0.157**

(0.028)

(0.024)

(0.030)

(0.043)

(0.028)

(0.027)

(0.029)

(0.028)

Output per worker

-0.469**

0.014

0.018

0.014

-0.412**

0.023

(0.052)

(0.047)

(0.048)

(0.048)

(0.052)

(0.048)

Avg. output per worker

0.173**

(0.064)

Growth of output per worker

8.491**

(0.656)

Var(TOT)

0.038**

(0.011)

Var(TOT) ×Trade∕Output

-0.001

(0.007)

CC

Var(Trade)

-0.009

-0.024+

O

(0.011)

(0.014)

Var(Trade) ×Trade∕Output

-0.017*

(0.007)

Share of manuf. trade

-1.651**

(0.170)

Liq. needs×Private credit∕GDP

-2.660*

(1.300)

Observations

Ï5Ï8

Ï5Ï8

1496

1496

Ï5Ï8

Ï5Ï8

Ï49Ô

1490

R2_________________________

0.744

0.771

0.254

0.726

0.712

0.713

0.273

0.716

μc

yθs

yes

no

yes

yes

yes

no

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses. + significant at 10%; * significant at 5%; *t significant at 1%. The sample period is 1970-99.
The dependent variable is the log variance of the growth rate of output per worker, 1970-99. All variables are in natural logs except for Liq.
needs×Private credit∕GDP and Output per worker growth. ‘Liq. needs’ stands for Raddatz (2005),s sector-level measure of liquidity needs,
which is inventories over sales, calculated using COMPUSTAT data. All variables are period averages, except for output per worker which is
the period’s initial value,
μc denotes the country fixed effects, μ⅛ denotes the sector fixed effects. All specifications are estimated using OLS.



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