Bird’s Eye View to Indonesian Mass Conflict Revisiting the Fact of Self-Organized Criticality



wars of the world. There have been such micro processes in the social system that emerged
the bird’s eye view of this interesting statistical feature. However, our discussions would
eventually approach possible micro process in civil violence or local massive conflict (that is
related to certain collective identities) yielding such multiplicative process of the casualties.


Interesting statistical facts from this finding are however the value of the moments
since power laws always bring non-statistical Gaussian properties. Since the exponent is
2<α<3 we can say that the first statistical moment (mean) does not diverge as if α= 1 .
The value of
μ=< xwould settle down to a finite value in the limit of large data set. We
can write down the value of the first moment as

<x >=



xp(x)dx =A
xmin



x-(α-2)

α - 2


xmin


(α-1) x

(α-2)


(7)


However, the second moment (mean square) can be written as

x2


x-(α-3)

(α - 3)


(8)


xmin


and reading the findings of the fitted exponent, we could say that the second moment of
the data would diverge in infinite value as the data set is larger. This is interesting feature
though, for theoretically speaking the ranges of the possible number of casualties in any
social clashes become ill-defined as we draw more and more samples into infinity.

Furthermore, from the derivation of Newman (2005), we could see that the
theoretical largest value with this interval of power law exponent,



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