94
1.00
0.95
0.90
0.85
0.80
0.75
Simulation true success rates
Figure 4.2: Scenario SO. Coverage probabilities of the central 95% credible intervals
under the NEPPM with 7 = 1 vs. the HLRM. From left to right, the first three
success rates correspond to poor prognosis (τi = —1), the following six to intermediate
(xi = 0) and the last three to good prognosis (xi = 1). The character sizes are
proportional to the sample size N{.
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